PSA: A lot of normies are coming in to Bitcoin soon. While most of them will probably use the normie side chain (Blackrock), some of them will understand what Bitcoin is about.
You can front run them not only by buying, but they will also raise fees on the time chain.
Open and fund your lightning channels now.
If you don't know how, this is it:
https://hackyourself.io/courses/a-quick-introduction-to-bitcoin-wallet-setup-buying-payments/
Also note that Bitcoin does not require KYC. Beware of exchange that want your personal data. They are government surveillance agents. In the free course, there are many options such as nostr:nprofile1qqsd54k9fd0xwjwkttgr3svkg7reftu5una95nhacg95nxq7fmzkdscpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgtcdmwcdp
Create good backups. I'll soon have an article up on seed backups.
Venice has started offering API access for all Pro account users. I have tried and it works with Continue in VS Code (to some extent, only the chat interface) and also with Open-WebUI. HOWTOs for both here:
https://github.com/jooray/ollama-like-venice/blob/main/API.md
The API is throttled, but otherwise unlimited. I am still offering lifetime pro accounts here:
https://hackyourself.io/venicepro
So for one time payment, you get LLaMA-3.1-405B chat model, image generation, and you can use it from your apps via an API.
Of course, you can get a normal subscription too, I think that the lifetime account is just a bit of a better deal, it is currently one of the most affordable ways how to use AI.
Venice also has uncensored models (both text and image generation).
A few months ago, I was dealing with rescuing people's coins who had a wallet called Block.io, and they also had some kind of web wallet for bitcoin, litecoin, and dogecoin. It mainly worked for operators of General Bytes ATMs because they didn't have to run a node. It functioned as a 2-of-2 multisig with a non-standard scheme. So even though users had private keys, they couldn't import them and spend from any standard wallet. You need to create the signature in a different way.
They were quite strict - if some tainted coins came in, they blocked API access to the account for the entire ATM network and wouldn't respond to emails for 2-3 weeks. Just like that, they'd send an email saying, "Sorry, you violated the terms, goodbye." Pretty harsh. Of course, they acted like, "Well, you have the private keys, so take your coins. It has nothing to do with us; we're just a tool for creating signatures and making transactions." They had some redeem script on GitHub where you could supposedly save the coins, but it didn't work and used their retarded blockchain API, so it was all wrong.
I solved this for one person whose coins I saved, and I thought it would be a good business to help many people because there was real stress. They had money locked up that they couldn't move, and a company just abandoned them.
Now new people are writing to me, quite a lot of people, asking for help to save their dogecoins. It's always dogecoins, I don't know why. They write mainly from Latin American countries, Brazil, wherever, writing in Spanish or Portuguese. The reason is that the service has shutdown completely. No support email replies.
I think for retail clients, it worked so that the second key from the multisig was stored on their server and encrypted with a key that the clients had. So basically similar to ProtonMail, where the private key is stored on the server, but they don't have the passphrase, so they have to decrypt it locally somehow.
Block.io ended their operations, now they only do their paid Blockchain API, Sochain. So desperate people are writing to me that they don't have access to their coins, they didn't notice the email that Block.io was ending operations, and they don't have the second private key. I can't help them; it's a multisig, and they don't have the second key. It's a total mess because this is like a hardcore rug pull, but they didn't even steal the money; they just completely abandoned their customers. If they at least emailed the customers their encrypted secondary key, I could decrypt it and save the coins. But now they are behind an API that no longer exists.
Lots of people are writing to me whom I simply can't help because I can't sign the transaction. But it's quite bizarre that everyone has Dogecoin, really, 100% of them have Dogecoin and only Dogecoin.
Anyway, if you are stuck and you have both keys (not a secret pin), check out my recovery services. And always have your coins, in your wallet, not in some API or on an exchange. For many people, this was life-changing money. Gone.
https://juraj.bednar.io/en/recovery-service-for-block-io-wallets/?contact-form-id=9651&contact-form-sent=9663&contact-form-hash=d8101ca2f9da24aeef050a7a7f2034fd46c0d181&_wpnonce=545bc43961#contact-form-9651
New podcast 🎧 How to fix the Internet – Nostr, Reticulum and other ideas
The internet is broken. We want free stuff, so we are the product. The datacenters are not free. Our identities, our social graphs, our channels and often our revenue are either owned or passed through intermediaries, who can flip the switch – and we’re gone. There are ways to take our online lives back, but it needs a bit of a cypherpunk mindset, and willingness to experiment.
Reticulum is a low-level mesh network when the basic Internet infrastructure fails. We can run it in cities over radio. Nostr is a protocol for publishing content, building social graphs and building replacement for Twitter/X, Instagram, but also Meetup, maps-based apps and many other things. And most of it (somehow) works today. If you are a bit cypherpunk and not a normie, come over!
https://hackyourself.io/2024/11/14/how-to-fix-the-internet-nostr-reticulum-and-other-ideas/
New project: a podcast version of my blogs. Locally generated. First the llm processes the blog into a form that is better for speech, another llm verifies that the first one did not screw it up. That should get the text blog into a more readable form. Then I do speech to text, which I verify via text to speech, I also change the parameters automatically if the output is not good.
I even had to change the phonemizer, to recode the inference model a bit.
Text to speech components are on my github.
The podcast is value4value enabled, so I accept sats per minute if your podcasting app supports it and boosts. The boosts are directly integrated with my podcasting 2.0 dashboard (also on my github).
https://fountain.fm/show/3MjdPUN26O8yQAtaXBmL
Why everything has to be a conspiracy? The food industry is so evil that the CEOs sat down and hatched a plan how to make us all sick, probably buying stock in drug companies to fix it?
This sloppy thinking does not pass through the razors. It is complicated (Occam's razor) and much better explained by stupidity (Hanlon's razor) than malice.
People are confused by this, because they see emergent behavior. Yes, everything has sugar, because sugar sells. There's no conspiracy, the companies are selling people what they want. So don't want what is not good for you.
I know that it's much more fun to believe that there's an evil with a face and name causing all our troubles rather than saying people demand this and market supplies.
People can't agree on a date of a meeting with five people. But world wide conspiracy flourishes, it's kept mostly secret (except of you, right? You're one of the few that know about it, because someone tweeted about it).
Conspiracies are for people who want to complain and find whose fault something is. Much better approach for each individual - identify what's good for you and demand it. And don't get fooled by emergent behavior in complex systems. It might feel planned, but it just appears out of trillions of interactions. Yes, it's magic. Soros, Gates and Klaus don't have much more say in it than you do.
Often with emergent phenomena, we can't really tell why exactly something happened, in a level of detail.
Why did Bitcoin trade at a certain price yesterday? There are many inputs coming to this, but real answer is that supply and demand met at a certain price. Everything else is guesswork and storytelling. There might be some truth to it, but it still only is a tiny thing that influenced the price. The price in this case is the information. That's the output of the inquiry, yet people still seek stories.
Some people have motives to sell us more food or sell our attention. Other people sell healthy food, information on how unhealthy the food is. Some platforms are designed not to grab our attention and sell it. For every force there is a counterforce in the market. Everyone is discovering what works for them.
This world view of evil conspirators trying to kill us takes away our responsibility. No one is forcing me to use big social or eat seed oils. They have business plans, I have my plans.
It is all more like a bazaar, yet people seem to imply there's a single hierarchy with a plan. Even the big corporations and states compete with each other.
It is by definition in complex systems. That does not mean that parts of it are not intentional, only that it is the result of many interactions of parts of a complex system.
Economy is a complex system.
And why would you want to get hooked? You can get hooked on heroin, are you a customer of a heroin dealer? Probably not.
There always need to be two sides of a deal. It would be evil if you had to buy their product. But we don't.
Not only they don't share all interests, they all want more power, which is a zero sum game, but also their strategy to reach their individual goals differ.
But yes, there's emergent phenomena even there
Everyone is responsible for their actions. And every trade has two sides.
If I was hooked on heroin as a kid, I would blame my parents more than the dealer. I have even less strict attitude towards food companies.
They are offering and I am choosing, I am very picky and I am at the driver's seat of my life.
I don't know about other people, maybe they are happy the way there are. If not, it's only them who can change their lives, not even their friends and definitely not the companies.
What about all the other meetings behind closed doors. Who wins, whose conspiracy will win?
Because of computational irreducibility (Wolfram), we don't know, we have to let everything play out. All the people behind closed doors have their plans, and even that they have a lot of power on paper, we actually have huge leverage. It is super hard to control many (and there are many competing for the control), yet we can easily figure out how not to be controlled.
It does not cut it's own throat. It works the same way as other standards - it is taking out competition. Access to loans is only late addition, although it by itself is enough motive in fiat economy. Getting access to money printer for negative interest rate is worth a lot of money, sure they can hire a few people to write some ESG bullshit paperwork, it's cheaper than whatever they make on interest only.
But the real thing is capture of the market. Big corporations enforce this bullshit through network effects. Want to be a supplier to IBM? Sure, show them your ESG project. Want to do consulting for a bank? Oh sorry mate, even though you are single contractor, we can't accept suppliers without ESG. Because we want to keep our ESG certificate too and if we contract with non ESG entities, we lose it.
Basically ESG is creating special market with privileged access with cheap credit and cheap competitors out. And they get preferred access to money printed by the state (budget)
But are they lost?
I don't know their priorities in life. I don't believe everyone should live as I do. Maybe they prefer shorter but sweeter life, maybe it's worth it for them. Maybe they are not ready yet.
Question and bugreport for nostr:nprofile1qqsx2wyjt6lmvc05rrvv05r5hm3w3t7h0pcpmkyswrpd4ymd2u09tscpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduq3kamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu339e682mnwv4k8xct5wvhxxmmdqywhwumn8ghj7mn0wd68yttsw43zuam9d3kx7unyv4ezumn9wscn3xgh
Question: how do I import custom rss feed? Not opml, I have a feed URL and I can't seem to find a way to open it
Bug report: Lately, fountain forgets where in the podcast I stopped listening. I listen in the car, get out, put on headphones, open fountain and it starts where I was before listening in the car. Sometimes it forgets between two listens. Very annoying. I'm on GrapheneOS, I don't kill the app or anything weird. This is a new problem, it wasn't like this before.
thanks!
i did not notice the three dots there. so many useful things in that menu that I did not know about. maybe it should be more noticable. I've been checking for it on the right side where it usually is on other apps.
I'm updated to 1.1.6, I'll see if it fixed the problem, thanks!
Trouble with the private feed:
- when I add private feed, I can play the episodes, but value splits are not recognized, which is weird.
- the added private feed does not stay under Shows in my Library or anywhere else (only the episodes that I played).
This is the feed:
https://juraj.bednar.io/assets/audioblog/feed.xml
Am I doing anything wrong or is it buggy?
I am on Android on 1.1.6
(What is cooking is hopefully a small revolution, at least for me - we'll turn Fountain and any podcasting 2.0 app into a reader app for blogs 😉 . Feel free to listen :)
The lesson at the end is exactly what I've been doing for a long time now. Don't read the news, read the prices.
Not only about the outcome, but how probabilities react to smallest changes in the environment. Matching over 3 billion is definitely not just crypto bros trading their hopium (as @robinhanson's paper on Futarchy says "Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?"). That kind of money trades an edge.
What is even more funny to me is how people think that someone would just buy trump yes tokens to see a number move on one platform. No, you do that when you have insider information. Funny thing was that it was the other way around - Trump's team was watching Polymarket numbers to see what works.
When my wife asks me if there's going to be WW3 this year, I say I don't know (no one really knows), but to see the odds, I look at the markets. The crypto bros trading these markets have an edge.
Now free Ross and I'm going back to coding. And order some coffee from my crypto bro wins on polymarket.
P.S.: https://juraj.bednar.io/en/blog-en/2021/06/23/prediction-markets-crowdsourcing-information-for-good-decisions/
-----
Original post:
https://x.com/hosseeb/status/1854154029796073814?t=axNSGD8GNW50vnLvZIXu6A&s=19
What Polymarket got Right that the Experts Got Wrong
As the dust settles on the election, there’s a story that the WSJ and NYT didn’t tell you. While the mainstream news was busy with their TV pageantry and hedging on calling key swing states, Polymarket, the world’s biggest prediction market, had already delivered its verdict by midnight EST, declaring Trump was 97% likely to win. This was before the media called even a single swing state.
All throughout this election, Polymarket was always one step ahead. I want to explain why this is, because judging from the Twitter responses I was getting last night, most people deeply misunderstand this.
There are two fundamental things that Polymarket did better than the media.
1. Polymarket was more accurate on the forecast going into the election.
Let’s take the pollsters and analysts. Election poll-based models claimed the race was a dead-even 50/50. Polymarket meanwhile was priced Trump with a distinct edge—going into the election, he was priced around 62% to win.
If you remember, the mainstream media derided Polymarket for this difference. Polymarket should be the same as the modelers, they said! Obviously it means you can’t trust Polymarket. It’s priced differently because it’s a bunch of Trump-loving crypto bros. It’s invested by Peter Thiel. Only foreigners trade on it. It's unregulated, so it must be being manipulated. There's a whale pushing up the price of Trump. And on and on.
Implicit in this dismissal is a deep distrust of markets. As though markets cannot be trusted unless affirmatively proven otherwise. And of course, if you actually trusted the markets, you might not trust the media anymore. And their whole business model is predicated on you distrusting anyone but them—why else would you continue to click on their never-ending stream of clickbait?
But anyone with experience with markets knows: it doesn’t fucking matter if a market is composed of Republicans, or Democrats, or foreigners, or whatever. In reality, we know that JP Morgan was using Polymarket, as were some of the largest hedge funds in the world (most have non-US subsidiaries). It was integrated into Bloomberg Terminal, it was being quoted on CNN. And yet the media spoke of Polymarket as though it was 4chan.
Understand, Polymarket traded $3.6 BILLION dollars on the presidential election. This was the largest election betting market by volume IN HISTORY and AN ORDER OF MAGNITUDE more than any other election market ever. There was more riding on this than any single modelers’ career prospects. Understand—markets work because of how much is riding on getting the answer right.
These supposed biases—being Trump-aligned crypto-pilled non-Americans—didn’t skew the market’s accuracy. (It seems obvious in retrospect that being non-American might improve your ability to dispassionately predict an election.)
But the identities of the bettors didn't matter. Prediction markets distill input from many diverse actors to produce prices that transcend biases. Markets don't care about ideology, they only care about being right.
And as it turns out, Polymarket was more right than any pollster or modeler.
Now, I want to be clear what I’m not saying: the difference between 60/40 and 50/50 sounds big, but it’s not. Elections are noisy. High school statistics will tell you that if you want to tell if a coin is rigged to be 60/40 rather than 50/50, you would need over 100 coin flips to have 90% certainty. The outcome of “Trump won this election” does not tell you whether the coin was 60/40 or 50/50.
My point is not that Polymarket was right and the models were wrong. They actually didn't disagree with each other by much. I'm making a more subtle point: the market was consistently pricing Trump’s odds higher than the polls. Remember, the market knows what the polls and analysts are saying. Markets incorporate all existing information—but Polymarket disagreed with with the pollsters. The only explanation that analysts could come up with for this was: Polymarket is biased.
They didn’t have the humility to imagine, maybe, just maybe, Polymarket knew something that was not being captured by the polls.
Polling sucks. This is all well established now. In the pre-Internet era, polling was much more accurate. Landline poll response rates were often above 60%. Today, poll response rates are around 5%. This means pollsters are getting massive sampling biases, and there is no possible way to correct these biases without baking in clumsy statistical corrections. (Plus pollsters—who are ultimately selling a product and have reputations to keep up—frequently herd their estimates together to avoid being an outlier, which fucks up poll aggregation.)
Plus, Trump is special. He is uniquely divisive in American politics. So for three elections in a row, we have seen massive polling errors that underestimated his support—the so called “Shy Trump Voter” effect.
Polymarket presumably believed that the polls were missing this. The pollsters said, no: we’ve updated our models and corrected for it. Polymarket said: I don't buy it. Polymarket was right.
Now, again! Polymarket did not say the election was 90% for Trump to win. 62% is not a sure thing, and elections are genuinely uncertain. But what irks me is that there was not even a tinge of curiosity from the media about the delta. Maybe Polymarket knows something we don’t? Maybe there’s information we’re missing that’s not being captured in the polls?
Remember, Trump massively outperformed his polls all across the country, in both red states and blue ones. He sweeped every single swing state, and even won the popular vote—something most people thought impossible.
Are you really so confident that there was no way to detect this—the sentiment of tens of millions of Americans—that didn’t involve the same old pollsters running the same old Internet surveys?
This is what being a student of the markets teaches you. Markets are smart. But they don’t explain themselves—they just show you the outcome.
That brings us to the second way that Polymarket outperformed the media.
2. Polymarket called the election in real-time, way before the media did.
The inscrutability of markets came in full force on election night. Polymarket moved quickly and violently before a single swing state was ever called. According to Polymarket, the election was over by midnight, while the mainstream media was milking the drama until the election was officially called at 6AM the next morning. Why was this?
First, Polymarket saw an important correlation that the mainstream media was not willing to explain to their viewers. You see, polling errors are seldom random; they are usually correlated across states. So when traders saw that Trump was massively outperforming his polls in states that were not themselves competitive—picking up huge vote share in NYC (cleanly blue) or Florida (cleanly red), this meant that there must be a massive polling miss across the country.
Polymarket immediately picked up on this and realized that the swing states could not possibly be competitive anymore. Polymarket priced Trump to win Pennsylvania at 90% by 11:30PM, when only a small portion of the Pennsylvania vote had been counted.
Prediction markets don’t wait for pageantry or pundits. It doesn’t care if it invalidates the sacred ritual of waiting for the votes to be counted. Remember in 2020 when Fox News called Arizona early (which turned out to be correct), viewers were outraged. Trump vowed to boycott the network over it. This reinforced the lesson—the networks must sit there and dutifully count up the votes. Don’t be too clever.
But markets don’t care about drama. They only care about outcomes. Obviously, it would be incredibly difficult to explain to a CNN viewer that the election is over, the polling error in non-competitive states is too big, Kamala is doomed and you should go to sleep and not bother to wait for swing states. It goes against the narrative that the media has been reinforcing for months. The public wants simple, explainable stories, and everyone knows how the narrative is supposed to go—you wait for the swing states and until one of the little colored bars crosses the 270 line.
At 12:51AM, the NYT was still showing this dramatic chart and headline. By then Polymarket already had Trump priced at 98% to win.
So election watchers dutifully stayed up through the night so the media could complete its empty ritual of filling up the bars.
Polymarket’s traders have no loyalty to narrative and no incentive to play up the drama for ratings—they just call it straight. @shayne_coplan, Polymarket’s founder, said that Trump’s campaign team was reading Polymarket to try to understand how to actually interpret the odds. The media even had the gall to complain that Trump was declaring victory when his electoral count was at 267—at that point, the Polymarket odds were so low that they registered as 100%.
The beauty of markets is they respond instantly to new information. The fastest trader who incorporates the information gets a prize—profit. This is something traditional media fundamentally is not set up to do. They have to filter events through layers of interpretation, narrative making, and internal politics (recall Murdoch’s intercession into the 2020 Arizona call).
The decentralized nature of Polymarket bypasses all this bullshit. It lets information flow without any interference.
There is a lot to reflect on from last night. This election was a resounding reprimand of the Democratic party, a rejection of the expert class, and an immune response against an arrogant media.
But for Polymarket, it was a night of pure vindication.
For me, the lesson is this: the next time something important is going on in the world, skip the op eds and check the Polymarket odds.
It's a centralized service.
There were a few decentralized but they did not have traction. unfortunately people prefer ease of use. I consider it an application that I use.
It uses usdc.
What is decentralized about it is the price action, which is a result of trades (including arbitrage with other prediction markets).
There is no locked funds, open interest is not interesting. For each binary bet you have one yes and one no for every dollar and you can turn them into a dollar at any time, since their combined value is exactly one.
Open interest does not mean much on these markets because of the constraint.
BTW the price itself is not what is interesting about this, the price dynamics is what's most interesting to me. Also - for good price, you need access, use of real money and anonymity.
Only market determines prices.
You mint yes and no tokens (only on the platform, they are not crypto tokens). Their combined value is exactly 1$ (because either yes or no happens and the payout of one will be 1, payout of the other 0).
You can then add a limit sell order to the order book for whatever price you want. And when someone wants to buy for the price, voila the market has spoken and initial price is born. The process then repeats, like on any other market.
How much is in the bets is not interesting, because you can create arbitrary amount of bets, without price risk. Holding both tokens does not add any information to how risky it is.
Volume is interesting. Most interesting is the full order book.
There were these smart contract markets, like Augur, but people did not value decentralization vs worse user experience. Traders prefer centralized and user friendly right now.
Let's find the cassette! 😀
Who has it?
My bets are on the Hawk Tuah girl.
nostr:nevent1qqsd5p43zat4t2rxwdkrhumcnkxxums92l4k78vpsz6y39gq789ypjcpz4mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wchsygzdf2mn0chmkkhsl4vskjm733h7wmf6q25hj8hhlkk0vq0eu586mqpsgqqqqqqszhzkfp
Innovations happening every day. If you are using chat interfaces to AI for coding, you might want to paste all your codebase to the prompt, right?
I bring you "unapaster", part of my dotfiles. Unapaster copies all the code, including filenames into clipboard.
BTW: You need a working pbcopy command. On macOS it is there by default, on Linux, it is defined in dotfiles.
https://github.com/jooray/dotfiles/commit/65b1cb73c469cd1f04786043668486a209ea3b7d
My podcasting 2.0 dashboard has another small update.
- it shows a number unique contributors (if they have a username) per podcast and per episode
- it groups sats per user and per episode, so you don't have 24 sats every minute, but it's shown per user for each episode.
(and if you have not heard the episode on the screenshot, I highly recommend it).
https://m.primal.net/LtMe.png
Get it here:
https://github.com/jooray/podcaster-boost-dashboard
Do you know of any great text to speech models that do intonation well? Open weights. They do not need to clone voices.
I've tried suno bark, but it sometimes hallucinates. I need the reading to be literally what's written. Also tried f5-tts, intonation is not great and the speed varies a lot, so when it's reading multiple texts, the speed of output speech is different between generation. The duration predictor is also not great and sometimes causes cutoffs.
Have I missed something?
English only for now is ok.
Wow, what do you use for inference?
Check out this:
https://github.com/jooray/lxmf-ai-bot
Works out of box with any lxmf client including nomadnet and sideband.
Beautiful.
Yesterday I was walking through the forest, a bit lost. I opened my phone (GrapheneOS powered) with OSMand and found my way.
Both are free and open source. Yes, the operating system and the navigation software. But so are maps. Imagine that someone went to the same forest, with a gps recorder and walked all the paths just to contribute to a free and open source database.
These days we have open weights AI, my mum is 3D printing something for a friend. It's an amazing world that was easy to imagine, but it was much harder to actually believe that this is how the world turns out.
Over from the bird by Eric S. Raymond:
You can just make things.
This is my massive white-pill about the revolution in small scale manufacturing that's going on right now.
The immediate trigger is a story I read about a guy who was annoyed that his wife needed a wheelchair, and the designs were all crappy and hideously expensive and made in China. So he booted up a small factory that now builds custom wheelchairs, delivering them for about $1,000 a pop, undercutting the Chinese by a factor of five.
The context, though is something that's been going on since the first mass market 3D printers in 2009. We've had more than a decade now in which many of the people who would have become part of the hacker culture I came up in back when software was the cutting edge have been learning how to use FDM printers, desktop CNC mills, laser cutters, EDM machines, and all kinds of physical fabrication techniques that you can set up in a garage or a basement.
The lesson has had time to sink in. If you're clever about it, you can hack matter the way we learned how to hack code - high speed, low drag, flexibly and playfully.
You can just make things. Without bimpty-bump millions of dollars of startup capital. With the new tech you can start small, turn a profit on boutique items, and scale up organically.
SpaceX is part of this story, using rapid iterations of custom designs made with 3D printing in sintered metal to continuously improve and simplify their rocket engines. So are Defense Distributed and the other semi-underground firearms-fabrication anarchists. So were the people who figured out how to garage-build respirators during the COVID panic. And now so is JerryRigEverything, the YouTuber who built a wheelchair factory.
The software revolution of a quarter century ago was fueled by Dennard scaling driving down the cost of compute power and wide area networking. Suddenly you could do things on a desktop that had taken raised floors and dedicated computer rooms just a few years before. Hackers grabbed these new possibilities and ran with them. I helped the movement understand itself.
I see something very like that happening again now. But instead of the demassification of software, we're seeing the demassification of manufacturing. The new hackers are being playful with atoms rather than bits. But the same spirit is there; I can feel it every time I wander into a makerspace.
These kids are not going to be stopped. There's too much fun to be had. Too many brains chasing every problem in sight. If my hacker culture didn't still exist it would make me all nostalgic to watch them.
But no. The old hacker culture and the new one flow together at the edges. The apprentice I'm teaching systems programming has a side-hustle printing models for mail-order customers. The kids put their part designs in public repositories; they didn't have to discover open source and distributed collaboration, they grew up absorbing both through their pores.
(Which has the accidental result that though I'm not leading things and writing manifestos this time, I'm one of their culture heroes anyway. That feels nice, I won't deny it.)
And you ain't seen nothing yet.
FDM and other small-scale fabrication technologies are attracting enough attention to improve at a torrid pace. There are obvious synergies with robotics and deep learning that haven't kicked in yet. Or, maybe they already have in somebody's garage, and we'll find out about it next week or next month.
It's a swarm attack, a disruption from below, and lots of conventional large-scale manufacturing outfits are going to suffer the fate of massified Chinese wheelchair factories - they just don't know it yet. They'll be undercut by cheaper, lighter, faster, smarter, custom, and localized.
Somewhere, Buckminster Fuller is whispering "ephemeralization" and smiling.
Pretix would be great. It's used by CCC, HCPP, Paralelní Polis.
Although for me it could be super simple. Actually I don't even need the sales system, only pre generated tokens and I can distribute the tickets myself. I organize very simple events. And I'd like to not even have email address or any other user info. So what nostr:nprofile1qqs9pk20ctv9srrg9vr354p03v0rrgsqkpggh2u45va77zz4mu5p6ccpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsz9thwden5te0dehhxarj9ehhsarj9ejx2a30qyg8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnddakj7xph5zr created is even better than pretix, where there's a more complicated sales process with t-shirt sizes, email addresses, name tags.
I just need "one entry, not used yet, valid".
Can't wait to try it out.
They might be well paid, but it's also horrible for them. They end up losing a life in a loveless hierarchy inside a building with artificial light and bad coffee. See here:
https://cryptoanarchy.institute/nocoiner-syndrome-2024.pdf
One man's raging dystopia is another man's hot immigration opportunity.
Ja vždy keď počujem tento muzak tak mám chuť pustiť k tomu 30 oscilátorov, vŕtačky, zbíjačku a zvuk zásuvky, ktoré to kompletne zničia, navždy.
AI in VIM? Sure.
Now show us your emacs setup! Ctrl-Shift-Meta-Alt-A (release keys) Shift-Meta-Alt-Option-I to start generation? :)
#emacsvsvim #itsnotevenfair #vimftw
https://github.com/ggml-org/llama.vim
Wow this is insane:
Oasis, the first playable, realtime, open-world AI model. It's a video game, but entirely generated by AI. Oasis is the first step in our research towards more complex interactive worlds.
Oasis takes in user keyboard input and generates real-time gameplay, including physics, game rules, and graphics. You can move around, jump, pick up items, break blocks, and more. There is no game engine; just a foundation model.
https://m.primal.net/LqQE.gifhttps://oasis-model.github.io/https://github.com/etched-ai/open-oasis
check @Deepologic (@EarsDeep Records), he makes very cool decentralized house music.
he also did some yet unreleased tracks for the first episode of @bitpunk.fm
Is there a Cashu mint implementation that supports EUR (or USD, but I am more interested in EUR) tokens and has a callback for hedging for mint and melt operations (minting through Bitcoin of course) and can get an exchange rate somehow?
Bonus points if there would be a way to swap BTC and EUR balances (basically a eur-side melt paying another mint invoice for sats denominated mint).
Of course asking for a friend, I only do testnet EUR.
Strangely enough, two people have asked me already about a desktop lightning wallet that is non-custodial, but is not a full node requiring bitcoind or something complicated (it can have full node like Breez, if the node is invisible to the user and doing something like Neutrino). Something like Phoenix or Breez, but for desktop.
Any ideas?
I checked: Breez, Phoenix, Zeus don't have desktop versions, Green does have desktop version, but it's based on prehistoric Green version that doesn't do lightning.
It needs an Alby account just to see what kind of downloads there are. Something that is preferably a software, not a service relying on a third party?
Or is there a way to run Alby Hub without Alby account?
Oddbean new post about login | logout
Notes by Juraj | export