BTW the price itself is not what is interesting about this, the price dynamics is what's most interesting to me. Also - for good price, you need access, use of real money and anonymity. 

 If that's the case, you can bet on both and take guaranteed profit :) 

 The amount that the markets take off the top would have destroyed any profit. I was going to do that, but predictit is terrible. 10% off the top and either 3% or 5% of anything that you transfer out. Total ripoff