Oddbean new post about | logout

Notes by 6bcf5f31 | export

 Maybe 
Mat #Gaez is an agent of some 'Deep State' organization
who secretly maneuvers to damage #... 
 @fa46ee30 

Things are spinning out of control, but I can't help laughing a little bit. 
 (I doubt there are any writers who would have turned down the opportunity that Isaacson was given... 
 @f8d9bc1c 

I think the more important issue is how narrow the pool of writers that Musk would allow near him is. 
 When powerful people in Washington and New York give vast access to a select group of journalists... 
 @f8d9bc1c 

This is the nature of journalism. This is the nature of social life. Everyone is trying to control the narrative.  It's why they invented deodorant. 
 I am fully aware #Musk has an agenda of creating controversy around his tweets and opinions. Also... 
 @e2aff28e 

My hope--and I think it's reasonable--is that the Republicans lose their majority after all the Shutdown drama, and we're treated to a really critical Congressional Hearing about the role of oligarchs in American foreign policy. 
 nostr:npub14pn3lgyypdp3dykxydl83wv9ray72sfajygggudpgy8mmdhc629qlarag6 

the propaganda failed in ... 
 @fa46ee30 

Gonna have to agree to disagree.  

He can't even control his own country that easily.  He's constantly having to murder people.  If he were this genius, he wouldn't be elevating these people to power in the first place, much less getting his own hands dirty to get rid of them later on. 
 nostr:npub14pn3lgyypdp3dykxydl83wv9ray72sfajygggudpgy8mmdhc629qlarag6 

no
it make sense
he repea... 
 @fa46ee30 

I just don't find that plausible.  That this one guy who can't even get his own house in order is this master genius capable of manipulating the whole world.

I understand why somebody would WANT to believe that--if the problem is only one single guy, then the solution is to just get rid of only that one single guy.

But life is always way more complicated than that. 
 nostr:npub14pn3lgyypdp3dykxydl83wv9ray72sfajygggudpgy8mmdhc629qlarag6 
come on Robert

let's be s... 
 @fa46ee30 

That's my point--you think Putin knows America well enough to direct propaganda here whereas he clearly failed in Ukraine?  That just doesn't make sense. 
 nostr:npub14pn3lgyypdp3dykxydl83wv9ray72sfajygggudpgy8mmdhc629qlarag6 

Forgive me if I firmly co... 
 @fa46ee30 

There is some statistical perspective we can apply to put this in context, and I think it supports my position pretty strongly.

All told, Hilary Clinton spent about $769 million during the 2016 election.

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/candidate?id=N00000019

Even the most aggressive estimates, which few people believe, say that Russia spent no more than $300k--0.039% of Hilary's spending. 
 Some history :

When the 'famous' #Trump went bankrupt (more than once)
first the #Russian #Mafia... 
 @fa46ee30 

I doubt Putin is that smart.  He can't even manage his own country without resorting to transparent murder.

I think we have to accept that the US has some foundational flaws in its own system that are finally catching up to it.

Not that the flaws in the US and the Russian system are equal.  I mean, Russia has undergone like 5 revolutions in the time the US has had 2 civil wars.  

But that's not the point. It's that we can't blame everything on one man. 
 The #IRS is sadli known for being intransigent

EVERYONE (even MAGAs) 
has to pay taxes

but
the ... 
 @fa46ee30 

Probably the bottom line is that the IRS don't have enough funding to do more than harass poor people.  It's too expensive to pursue the abuses of the wealthy, who can afford lawyers to make the task impossibly lengthy and complicated.  Agents are promoted/compensated based on the # of cases they close.  They don't have time to gamble on really big returns.  Better to intimidate a lot of little people. 
 nostr:npub14pn3lgyypdp3dykxydl83wv9ray72sfajygggudpgy8mmdhc629qlarag6 nostr:npub1lrvmc88ck63qpt73... 
 @098a11ae @f8d9bc1c 

So you think Trump is a great guy?  Encouraging him to run for president was a 'good' thing by your lights?

Because that's what the emails discussed. 
 nostr:npub1f7payhp602txr2deyvq8jp6w2f2ex6y420snvl0hsk8yzar5rh0quhry5t nostr:npub1lrvmc88ck63qpt73... 
 @098a11ae @4f83d25c @f8d9bc1c 

Wait--are you claiming that NY Times is a Republican outlet?  I don't think I've met anybody anywhere who believes that.

You can argue that you personally would manage a Dem outlet differently than the NY Times does, but I don't think it can be seriously argued that the NY Times is a Republican outlet. 
 nostr:npub14pn3lgyypdp3dykxydl83wv9ray72sfajygggudpgy8mmdhc629qlarag6 nostr:npub1lrvmc88ck63qpt73... 
 @098a11ae @f8d9bc1c 

Nobody, not even the Clintons, denied that the emails were real.  Hilary did try to portray their release by Wikileaks as part of a Russian effort to manipulate the election, but clearly the NY Times would not be recommending clemency for Assange 6 years later in 2022 if they thought that were actually the case. 
 @f8d9bc1c 

The problem with the Clinton emails wasn't where they came from--even the NY Times Editorial board supports clemency for Assange.  It's that they were real. 
 I watched #Fox
(I usually don't har my self)
I wanted to see the ability they had to 'propaganda'... 
 @fa46ee30

You are very in touch with your own values in a way most people are not, I'd wager. 
 I say this as a NON-American
so (maybe) I'm wrong
but
#Trump is living proof that
a good portion ... 
 @fa46ee30 

It's not about intelligence or non-intelligence.  It's about being left or right.

2023 Democrats are basically 1980 Republicans. 

So the only way for 2023 Republicans to differentiate themselves is to become Nazis.

The policies they are advocating are stupid and violent.  But nobody actually--not even the people advocating them--thinks they are actually good.  Just different from what the Democrats are saying.

Thinking never enters the equation. 
 @f8d9bc1c 

Remember that Musk has millions of dollars in loans from the China.

How has there never been a Congressional hearing about this?