Oddbean new post about | logout
 International law is something that everybody is throwing under the bus.  That's fine, but there are consequences.  In the final analysis, strategy is what really matters. But support of international law is a good strategy that often goes unrecognized.

I predict Israel will attack Iran directly soon. Iran promised to immediately respond to any further provocation, no delays and deliberation, they are wound tight and ready to spring.  So when the next strike happens, expect an all out and very intense war. 
 Countries and groups are not working things out peacefully.  In my opinion nuclear reactors, nuclear weapon development and weapon facilities will be the target, but no one knows tomorrow in certainty.  I think people and countries are going to fight, best to live peacefully, there will be enough people seeking revenge.  People need transformation... if this world is going to survive.  Feel like most people are spectators on a stage, watching a horrible play.