Oddbean new post about | logout
 International law is something that everybody is throwing under the bus.  That's fine, but there are consequences.  In the final analysis, strategy is what really matters. But support of international law is a good strategy that often goes unrecognized.

I predict Israel will attack Iran directly soon. Iran promised to immediately respond to any further provocation, no delays and deliberation, they are wound tight and ready to spring.  So when the next strike happens, expect an all out and very intense war.