Oddbean new post about | logout

Notes by predyx | export

 Does anybody know what's going on with the nostr:nprofile1qqs2fvyqh4902w82pcps0l820yfndgw2hhkn09y... 
 What's going on, sir!? We're predicting the future! 
 Yess we had small downtime... all good now! 
 When super accurate predictions based on #Nostr users’ collective intelligence? nostr:note1qn5r... 
 SOON 
 Hmmm 
 GM

Is the train still not stopping?
Can we do a prediction market for the next banking #bailout?... 
 What big bank will be the first to receive a bailout? 
 Is anyone developing a prediction market like Polymarket but on the Nostr protocol with bets in s... 
 Yes sir, but no Nostr in background (yet) 
 Prediction: Massive short-term panic incoming for bitcoin after Sept. 18 Fed rate cut, but the co... 
 How many sats would you bet on it? 
 Is there a prediction market on trump assassination? 
 OTC only ;) 
 GM Dear Ones!

Been thinking about ecash lately. Mainly about potential use cases.

An easy one, ... 
 Wow, gotta check! 
 Who will be 2024 TIME Person of the Year?

#predyx #predictionmarkets 
 What are the best questions to be asked at prediction markets now? 
 What are some of the best movies of the past five years? 
 Is anyone going to bet on the Presidential election? I feel like a bet on Trump is easy money at ... 
 Do you still feel like that? 
 50/50?

10,000 sats on KH 
 Prediction markets are pretty fun, but I wonder if insider trading laws are going to catch up to ... 
 Did you try Manifold? 
 We're building one! 
 Open information markets are second most needed thing by humanity (after bitcoin) 
 soon... 
 Polymarket isn’t available in the United States? 🤔 
 V-P-N 
 Yes sir! 
 Wen Bitcoin based Polymarket? 
 SOON. 
 so polymarket is freemoney 
 depends how you bet 
 bullish on polymarket 
 Imagine this works on Bitcoin 
 Who’s building the polymarket.com replacement on Bitcoin/nostr? 
 SOON 
 #Nostr is awesome. And it works. 
 SOON 
 most certainly 
 Stats from NostrBand show slow decline recently, but it's not tragic....

Any other such stats sites?

https://m.primal.net/JTpE.png  
 Kamala Harris is back at 15%!


https://m.primal.net/JMsd.png  
 Hey #bitcoin,

Is there any other #HalvingParty announced?

🇸🇻  @HalvingPartyMF, April 3-4
🇬🇷 #SantoriniHalvingParty by @`glowleaf` April 13-14
🇵🇱 #EuropeanHalvingParty by @`Bitcoin FilmFest` , April 19-21 
 I am in 1.2.5 and i also can't get past screen of logi,n. I dont remember pasword, it doesnt let me create another keys or log i n to another account. Basicaly unusable still 
Event not found
 i do! but you also seem to have the Alby address already!? 
  @imp0stor dm us for invite code 
Event not found
 Cashu?
Prediction markets?
Nostr npub locked coins?
DLC?

What do you think? 
Event not found
 People don't revere them enough