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 I think you’re severely underestimating the NSA’s capabilities. 
 maybe so but if they found him they would make a show of it, so there's that 
 In my opinion they did find him, but they’ve chosen not to make a show of it. Which tells you something. 
 For what it's worth. I hope you're wrong. But even then that gives them access to 1 million btc? 
 no, it tells me that you are prone to imagining evil people have the power they pretend to have

if they have him, but no keys, but the evidence is there, they would show it off

if they have him, but they have the keys, the coins would have moved

if he is dead, and they never found him, neither would happen

out of those three options, option 3 is what has actually been made public

nothing

believing the lies of evil people about their power is the first mistake anyone makes about evil people 
 It’s not lies bud. We have @Snowden's disclosures informing us of exactly their capabilities. 
 it's not that sophisticated opsec to wipe your keys and hard drive

when that moron accepted a date with the CIA he disappeared

zero chance his drives retained any of the code or data

zero chance he retained the keys

the very fact that the CIA got interested confirmed that it had "caught on" and it was on fire and that was all he was gonna get away with so he probably took a bus to mexico and that was that

plenty of places to get work when you are a C++ server programmer

i know what it means to burn keys that are worth something

did it twice in my life already so far 
 That’s a fine story, but the nsa would still know who he was regardless. He lived a whole life before bitcoin. He left breadcrumbs behind. His identity is very knowable with the level of data they have on both him and everyone he ever interacted with. Wiping the hard drives is cute when every text or email you’ve ever sent is backed up in an nsa server somewhere. 
 These are some of the speculations that I explore in my book, The Nakamoto Consensus. Did they get him? Did he get away? Did someone help him? it's a Bitcoin adventure textbook, a Trojan horse orange pill. 
 
 belief in the deliberately cultivated aura of omnipotence of government agencies full of people who are selected for their obedience not their talent is stupid

i remember not many years later somewhere reading that they were having trouble getting the best people because they drug test applicants

your faith in government is showing, you might want to either admit it or perhaps remove it

if russian and chinese spies can evade detection by the NSA then so can a smart guy who has been working on privacy technology for a decade

satoshi BEING an NSA guy is very possible too, so, yeah, we all know how it goes when they investigate themselves, you have studied social engineering i would hope