Oddbean new post about | logout
 Why does Hal refer to 20 million coins and not 21 ? 
 Probably because it’s a very rough calculation. He talks about dividing 100-300 trillion by 20 million. The extra million wouldn’t make much difference in his Jan 2009 prediction guesstimate of $10 million per coin. 
 It’s interesting as obviously a million were never moved 
 If you had been planning to mine a million coins and never move them, would you hint about that in such a way? I’d say it was just a simpler calculation. 
 I still believe Hal was Satoshi. My number 1 
 It’s who you’d wish was for sure 
 Maybe because there will never be 21 million. 
 Yep and he knew 🤷‍♂️ 
 21 was always destined to be the Tantalus Target  🤭

Ever so close, but forever out of reach 
 Just makes the math simpler 
 Yep potentially 
 Always knew satoshi’s million coins would never hit the market? 
 They won’t