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 Nostr is a toy, yes.  A great toy, and developers love it.  Unlike bluesky, or mastodon, it is not set up for mass adoption, but is very good for R&D.  Opensats could change the equation, but they have an R&D strategy is working, rather than a growth strategy employed by bluesky.  And it may be a bit late, anyway, since some devs have left.  But this all might actually be good.  If you zoom out, you see that nostr is build on http.  Rather than nostr having to take over everything, you could instead, take the best parts, and deploy them to a wider audience on http in general.  In fact, this is by far the most likely path.  Nostr has bitcoin native payments, we just need to make bitcoin the native payment system of HTTP.  This is why projects such as npub.pro are so amazing.  Similarly with single-sign on, nostr identity can be used in many existing systems.  Nostr is a toy for R&D but can spread to the whole web, which has a chance of working.