Oddbean new post about | logout
 For anyone thinking from the news coverage that the Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election (a win for Labour) means the SNP is imploding, a look at the history of that constituency should be enlightening: 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rutherglen_and_Hamilton_West_(UK_Parliament_constituency)

It ’s a Labour/SNP battleground that switches party at almost every election: the previous SNP MP, Margaret Ferrier, was found guilty of "culpable and reckless misconduct" over COVID lockdown breaches then yeeted from her seat via a recall petition. So, no surprise. 
 @0c1a9324 Though the magnitude of the win (two to one) looks like more than a simple swing. That looks like a hole below the waterline. 
 @0c1a9324 15K SNP voters staying at home isn't exactly an earthquake 
 @0c1a9324 yeah, I noticed that the Graun are desperately trying to push it as a big Starmer!Labour win indicative of Scottish Labour Being Back; I suspect that is because of the overlap of said theme with their transphobic and anti-Scottish-independence editorial stances...