Oddbean new post about login | logout Am I regarded? I’m confident lol https://m.primal.net/LnOV.png https://m.primal.net/LnOW.png https://m.primal.net/LnOX.png
My honest opinion? You'll lose. Long term (say 2034) I'm obviously of the same opinion as you. Even more, I don't even believe long term ETH will outperform the USD. But in 12-ish months, I think it's more likely than not that it has a higher return than BTC.
I’m genuinely interested in learning and would like to ask you: 1. Why do you think ETH performed between 2020-2021? 2. Why did other alt coins see a banana run in that time period? What causes this? #nostr
Excess liquidity in the system. That's happening again imminently. If Kamala wins, we'll have PRINTER GO BRRRRR. If Trump wins, on top of that, we will have CRYPTO GO BRRRRO. The way it has worked historically is that BTC is pushed up and to the right by all that monetary debasement, and when investors kind of get tired of it, it overflows to ETH and the others. I believe that given those conditions, it will happen again, because that's a behavior that stems from human nature and psychology themselves. The reason why ETH will outperform BTC is simply that it's market cap is smaller. So it can do larger percent gains with a smaller cash inflow. cc nostr:nprofile1qythwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnswf5k6ctv9ehx2ap0qyfhwumn8ghj7ur4wfcxcetsv9njuetn9uq32amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwv3sk6atn9e5k7tcpr9mhxue69uhkyat5vd5x2u3wdehhxarjxyhxxmmd9uq3vamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wd4skc6tw9ehkump0qys8wumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnnw3skw6twvuhxwetewdjhytnxw4hxgtcp8pmhxue69uhkc6t8dp6xu6twvuhxyetwvd5x7erjdanxvtnrdakj7mn0wd68ycmvd9jkuap0v9cxjtmkxyhhyetvv9uszxmhwden5te0dehhxarj9enk2unzd9k8xtn0dekxjmn99uq3samnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wdpshx6rzv9hxwtnwdshsz8thwden5te0dehhxarj9enxz6tjwd5xzun99eek7cmfv9kz7qghwaehxw309ahx7um5wghxv6tvd4mk2c3wwpkz7qgcwaehxw309ahx7um5wghxwetewdjhytnxw4hxgtcprdmhxue69uhkummnw3ezu6rpwpc8jarpwejhym3wvdhj7qghwaehxw309ahx7um5wghxwmr9v4ax2tnrdakj7qghwaehxw309ahx7um5wghxw6tjd9hx7tn0wfnj7qgcwaehxw309ahx7um5wghxsetvd9hkgetc9e3kvtcprfmhxue69uhkummnw3ezu6r90p5x27pwdahxc6twv5hszxrhwden5te0dehhxarj9e5x7mrevfjkztnrdakj7qgkwaehxw309ahx7um5wghx5cmvda6kgtn9wvhsz9mhwden5te0dehhxarj9e5xjenfwd5zummjvuhszxnhwden5te0dehhxarj9e5hgumwv4382mrp9ehx2ap0qythwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytn2v9mxjtnnwpskxef0qyt8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnfdenhw6t99ekk2tcpr9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezumr0vdskc6r0wd6zuun99uq3gamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wdf5k6cewd4jj7qpqqq7k890ege6alxwj6uyk0ysuj6jyhxaye9p2zd8u335u5kzr4esszpnl0j
Would seriously like to know why you think ETH will outperform BTC in the next 12 months as I still have ETH that I want to convert back to BTC but I'm always waiting for >0.07BTC to come back and since then it's just spiraling down like hell. In your opinion, what are the chances thst we get back to 0.07 or even 0.06 in the next 3 to 12 months and why?
Yes. But not for this 🥹
It's like taking candy from a baby.
Interacting with numbskulls on bluebird is regarded, yes. As to the bet itself, who knows. You know degeneracy runs wild so you may lose this one. In a rational world you'd win ofcourse.
Eth in my opinion has been shit from the beginning. But its gathered alot of momentum because there were not really any alts competing when it first came out. And so it gathered enough network effect. Some of the other smaller alts will beat btc, just because their market cap is so tiny, so to double treble quadruple takes very little liquidity. Eth market cap is quite massive, so it needs to have some real teeth to get similar returns to the past. How much money is flowing into Eth ETF? Last I heard, it was fraction of Bitcoin ETF. If Eth ETF inflows is maybe 1/4 of Bitcoin then maybe (Eth ETF came out after Bitcoin, so it would understandably be lagging).🤔 Did wolf of all street take your bet? If you lose you have to pay him 1bitcoin? If you do lose btc could be worth $200k-$500k. That would hurt! I dont think I could make a bet priced in bitcoin. In Fiat maybe. I gave up gambling in summer of 2000 when I bet my hard earned money from my job in mcdonalds on Tim Henman to win a 4th round Wimbledon match. He bloody lost. That was the end of my gambling days. 🙄
yeah sorry Joe, I love you but you are retarded)
You sir are highly regarded.
What's worse than a shitcoiner that is an unabashed fan of shitcoins? A shitcoiner that rides on the coat-tails of Bitcoin. Largely promoting Bitcoin so he gets unwitting subscribers, then shills the garbage He had Jack mallers on a few months ago. Jack basically said anyone who shitcoins does not understand Bitcoin or proof of work. Didn't hear a peep out of this disingenuous reprobate during that interview...
