Oddbean new post about login | logout I mostly agree. I see more & more people around me opting for an offline life for varying reasons. Some are put off by ai, some are exhausted by the disingenuous nature of it all. I think it's just part of the societal expansion/contraction cycles. More focus on community means less need to venture outside of that. I foresee niche online groups far exceeding any sort of lumped together mess, with half the userbase... and a whole other world of people going mostly analog. I mean, most of the time I don't even know why I'm using nostr, other than that I believe it needs to exist 😂
Most of us are just sort of hanging out and waiting for communities and forums and stuff to finally get going. The main feed will then dry up like the Sahara, with only the replies surviving the purge. SM clients need to be replies-first or they're going to go the way of the dodo.
I get that... Even now, there's a handful of topics that, if someone new is interested in them & is onboarded by someone who knows of them, said new person could happily settle into a little bubble of their interests with very little noise. It's just sort of in the shadows at the moment. I don't think the main will dry up though. Eventually it will become something of a billboard space... but more consensual 😂
Yeah, that's how I use it. For announcements. Or GM rounds with my frens, as if it were SimpleX.
That's basically the direction it'll be headed. More like IRL, where people will onboard and meetup in the OtherStuff, follow people they like that they meet there, and then use SM to say GM to them all or inform their frens that their dog got fleas, or something. The bizarre/influencery "I'm just going to jump into the flow of 5 million random people, post some rage porn or seek engagement, and get some likes" thing is what is going to go away.
I don't know about it going away, but at least the individual will be able to avoid it if they so choose... so it'll seem like it's gone 😅