Old age is the Facebook killer. It won't outlast the Boomers. 

 I meant it more as a moment in time. At a certain point t was vaguely impossible to see an end of Facebook, what could replace it. Now it seems like all social media is in a zombie state with nothing to replace it. 

 It wasn't that long ago when you could only imagine a replacement or improvement, the next new thing the '____-killer'. Now it feels like it'll all just go away due to indifference and lack of interest. 

 Teenagers are all on Discord and WhatsApp and stuff. Mostly talking to people they know IRL. 

 Private groups, a lot of them facilitating offline life, or resources for research. Social media might be a goner, and I'm not sure anyone will miss it 

 I'm already in three SimpleX groups, two Telegram groups, and a Slack group. All about Nostr.

Half the people you think left Nostr are chatting with the people they met on Nostr, right off of the outskirts of Nostr. 

 All of the anti-censorship Nazis are killing the development momentum because the OtherStuff apps don't work well unless you curate the feed, by default.

Otherwise you go to the code development app and see a bunch of stuff that isn't about code development. You go to the sports app and see parenting stuff. Etc. 

 I gotta play with simplex, didn't know groups existed 

 We want to switch to that from Slack, but it doesn't have the features we need, yet. But we're going to put those features in GitRepublic. 

 sounds good to me! 

 Hiking app.
Gaming app.
Tele-conference app.
Code development app.
Wiki app.
eBook and academic journal app.
Recipe app.
Bible app.
Parenting app.

We can already see the way this is headed. 

 The "next killer app" is here...literally.

(i.e., it's Nostr!) 

 There are no apps to kill, they're all dead. They're just zombies. 

 I mostly agree. I see more & more people around me opting for an offline life for varying reasons. Some are put off by ai, some are exhausted by the disingenuous nature of it all. I think it's just part of the societal expansion/contraction cycles. More focus on community means less need to venture outside of that. I foresee niche online groups far exceeding any sort of lumped together mess, with half the userbase... and a whole other world of people going mostly analog. I mean, most of the time I don't even know why I'm using nostr, other than that I believe it needs to exist 😂  

 Most of us are just sort of hanging out and waiting for communities and forums and stuff to finally get going.

The main feed will then dry up like the Sahara, with only the replies surviving the purge. SM clients need to be replies-first or they're going to go the way of the dodo. 

 I get that... Even now, there's a handful of topics that, if someone new is interested in them & is onboarded by someone who knows of them, said new person could happily settle into a little bubble of their interests with very little noise. It's just sort of in the shadows at the moment. 

I don't think the main will dry up though. Eventually it will become something of a billboard space... but more consensual 😂 

 Yeah, that's how I use it. For announcements.
Or GM rounds with my frens, as if it were SimpleX.  

 That's basically the direction it'll be headed. More like IRL, where people will onboard and meetup in the OtherStuff, follow people they like that they meet there, and then use SM to say GM to them all or inform their frens that their dog got fleas, or something.

The bizarre/influencery "I'm just going to jump into the flow of 5 million random people, post some rage porn or seek engagement, and get some likes" thing is what is going to go away. 

 I don't know about it going away, but at least the individual will be able to avoid it if they so choose... so it'll seem like it's gone 😅 

 It's just the overt creation of bubbles. Like, you can just find your tribe, go off into the corner and talk amongst yourselves.
But now, you get to decorate your corner.