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Coffee ☕ | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 I went to look at the biggest bet on trump 
https://image.nostr.build/9b87dad28739ab152d6fec6eb56f7f50a6a6eece9cad9daa927684de883c6efc.jpg

His position is in profit, and even him moves the needle only a point. The market already has $1.5bi 

IMO prediction market are today the most relevant way to look at it
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philgarland | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag +1 
 To me, 58% to 41% seems suspicious. Those odds seem skewed compared to polling and other betting markets.
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Coffee ☕ | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 I totally agree and it will regress my bet, but just to be clear this is the biggest one, and 41% winning chance for the underdog is an amazing bet.

And more on your point less than a month ago she had her biggest lead
nostr:nevent1qqsyanql3xg7nr2m4xageeglr58a3maf0dhpnqjemqsdtjulk0z5zqspzemhxue69uhhwmm59eek7anzd96zu6r0wd6z7q3q7eruj45dp9vkuv3lm5q5fw8z7dd27hd2g0u7kkd4qt5emy85xeesxpqqqqqqzzdl90w

After that point you had, Dockers strike, Hurricanes and invasion of Lebanon. All the government flaws beat her chances
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j | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 then go bet dude
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philgarland | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag +1 
 Ok dude
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j | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 looks like you (and all the people that might agree with you) have not had enough confidence to deploy the amount of capital needed move the markets yet..

so probably just cheap talk
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philgarland | 1 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag +2 
 I don’t think you understand what you’re talking about. Thanks for your input.