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 I'm with Texas.

Is this the official beginning? Will things get kinetic? 
 Its not real until c
California allies with Texas against DC...at least thats what the movie coming out soon is telling me. 
 What is the Fort Sumter moment?  I believe the Texas National Guard would have to seize Joint Base San Antonio to start things off fo realz.   
 The rub is that much of the federal military would be on Texas' side. They might not need to "take" if it came to that. 
 The have been steadily trying to purge the military of patriots... especially Texas.  The cucks with stars on their collar, pardoned the treasonous murderers of the Houston riots of 1917 to try and demoralize the troops.  They want constitutionist-patriots to quite in disgrace and suicide themselves IMHO. 
 True. The pushes to embrace sexually perverse lifestyles was definitely a ploy to break down the strength of the military by discouraging strong men from enlisting. I don't know how socal it was, but I hope not too successful. 
 Also the 💉 
 I've been wondering about that.  If the Feds try to nationalize the Texas Guard to countermand Abbot's orders, who do the guys on the ground actually listen to? 
 I make no predictions but I don't currently see this as leading to anything kinetic. The ball is in the federal government's court. So we will see.

On the part of Texas and the other states, the timing seems politically calculated. Thats not to dog Abbott, this has been needed for three+ years. It is to say that no real politically costly decisions have yet been brought before TX or any other red state. I'm glad to see the support the other governors have been providing, but sending some NG troops and resources is not politically costly. These governors have not (yet) given indication that they are willing to take bold and costly measures in the preservation of national security, or of liberty. So while this has the potential to escalate, as of now it does not seem like the beginnings of a kinetic conflict. 

What I do hope it is the beginning of is states taking stronger measures to reassert and hold the line on their sovereignty, particularly their sovereign rights under Article 10. We will need more of this sort of thing to weather the next three to seven years.  
 True, it's not exactly a point of no return yet, but my point is that this particular exchange could become the catalyst. However, bold defiance of the SCOTUS and federal efforts in a state's own self defense is cold lawfare heating up.

A politically costly move may be to begin making arrests by either side, or rather the order to do so. 
 As I understand it, SCOTUS temporarily allowed the admin to continue cutting wire while the case continues litigation in lower courts. Technically Texas can keep building and has Constitutional authority to block federal workers from accessing the wire. I do not know what precisely is happening on the ground. 

Arrests would certainly step things up a bit! I'm certainly in favor of cold lawfare over hot warfare.

As I see it, even if TX keeps putting up wire and the feds keep cutting wires, the presence of all those blockaids and NG troops is probably enough to deter most from crossing there. Which is good. And I don't think there is any order against TX detaining migrants and sending them back if they do cross there. Could be wrong.  
 Stopping illegal immigration is easy as pie...  If you choose to employ, house, cloth, or feed any illegal immigrate it will be considered adding and abetting a felony (breaking into the country is a felony last time I checked).  Jail every employer that hires them and every Satanist NGO that traffics them (especially the Catholic and Luthern  church). 
 I am very sure the Catholic Church itself is not trafficking, but I would not be surprised to hear some crazy Susan from the Parish Council has been misappropriating parish funds to help smuggle humans. I can't speak for Protestant organizations, though. 
 No, the Catholic church is fundamental in the organization of migrants through Mexico and into the United States.  They provide material care, transportation, health care, housing, monetary aid, and legal services to the aliens that cross the US Border illegally.  If that doesn't constitute human trafficking, then nothing does. 
 The Catholic Church itself is far to wide an organization, just from a mere organizational view, for the whole to be in on the deal. It has a sixth of the global population, or thereabouts in its membership. I am the first to say there's corruption needing to be carved out like cancer, and you might be able to point to dioceses, maybe bishop's conferences, to be in on it, but you can't say the whole of the global Church is. 
 I would also rather cold over hot law- or warfare, but I also see that path toward escalation even through lawfare, like the arrests I suggested might be a "next step".

At some point, the adding versus cutting wire will come to an end. I don't see it becoming a ceremonial quasi-offence like the dispute over the little island between Canada and Greenland (Hans Island, if you're wondering). Someone will put the foot down and begin making arrests (I see either party doing this), or will give up and comply (I really don't see Texas rolling over for the Feds). 
 no, this is just checks and balances.  stay cool. 
 We can hope so. Similar to how one almost longs to vomit when ill, I almost long to get this over with. 
  i know what you mean, but we can have finality when we're dead. I welcome healthy tension. 
 Biden & his cronies are beginning to learn that they have overstepped their authority.

If they escalate further, they'll ruin their chances of Bidens campaign. You betcha ol' orange will use this to his advantage. 
 Lol. You're saying things haven't been so? 😅 
 I live in Texas lol.

I don't think it will get kinetic, though.  The cynic in me says nothing ever really changes.  There's a lot of political posturing right now, but who knows if it will amount to anything. 
 I have family in Austin and grew up there. The Texan spirit won't roll over, so it's on the Feds to make the determination about how kinetic it gets. 
 Oh hey I live in Austin right now! 
 Cool! We might run into each other at mass when I next visit my parents. (Do you go to a TLM?) 
 I go to the TLM at St. Mary's Cathedral.  My wife and I were married there! 
 That's exactly the one I plan to attend next time we're in Austin 👍 cool!