I would also rather cold over hot law- or warfare, but I also see that path toward escalation even through lawfare, like the arrests I suggested might be a "next step".

At some point, the adding versus cutting wire will come to an end. I don't see it becoming a ceremonial quasi-offence like the dispute over the little island between Canada and Greenland (Hans Island, if you're wondering). Someone will put the foot down and begin making arrests (I see either party doing this), or will give up and comply (I really don't see Texas rolling over for the Feds).