Oddbean new post about | logout
 Yes, though no chart exist relevant to the price of Bitcoin AFAIK, but here is a repost from last month with a link to Nostr stats.

nostr:nevent1qqstestr9ejt7n0u2yu6lx4fsdyk63ejf7synm305028ej0yjpdjnggprfmhxue69uhhq7tjv9kkjepwve5kzar2v9nzucm0d5hsygzwhzp3p445ak2ud4n289dn6084txu9ltkg7a53mt75qk5jup2ad5psgqqqqqqsptvawp 
 I see what you mean!

I agree with what's said in the previous post. The nature of what nostr is working on is almost garuanteed to be spikey. 

People don't seem to wake up gradually. They wait until some event destroys their way of life before looking for alternatives. For some people that never happens and they just go with the biggest network.

I hope as the clown world continues to escalate with control/censorship, it will create more waves of people waking up and coming over at once.

In between maybe its normal to trend down while the clown world is relatively calm. 
 Yeah, so, it's gotten worse.
I can literally feel the decline because I don't usually post about Bitcoin and it's like 🦗🦗🦗🦗
 https://image.nostr.build/34e83e927b12dc596959600a6505f49368a4a99c39382b0b051ec304a75ec084.jpg 
 It's time for algo dopamine feeds.
nostr:nevent1qqsqjn6n060hftuug0r68q3g9j5069kv6yzk7cku7g4gnqwt5az7rzsu605gn 
 Going off that metric, of ALL the people who signed up in October, there are none left🤔.  
 Don't know if it's accurate, but that would be the cohort who got hit by ReplyGuy, right after joining. 
 Aaah, yes. I forgot about the fool!  
 I have ~ no trust in the stats
There's no way these changes in variability are a real effect
https://i.nostr.build/tmzv3lIQtVY6Zbgz.jpg 
 That chart is only in 5k increments. It checks out. 
 I mean the day-to-day variability
Prior to end of August you've got an eyeball variance of +/- 500 per day at the 95% confidence interval, superimposed on a linear trend

That started in January and lasted for 8 months

https://i.nostr.build/Ob9JcteETwEQPzM8.jpg

Then there's a step change to +/- 7,000 per day superimposed on I don't even know wtf to call that, which lasted about 2 months

Now it looks like we're back to +/- 500

I can't think of a reasonable model of human behaviour that would produce 10-fold step changes in variance 
 It is to a point that I thought that there is something wrong with my accout, relays, etc.  
 Make sure you include wss://christpill.nostr1.com in your relays. That's one where a lot of us are congregating and reading from. 
 Thanks. 
 I didn't even know that there is a dedicated relay like this. I really appreciate you sharing it.