Oddbean new post about | logout
 I think it'll be less this time, more like 50% 
 Yep, 50 makes sense and i doubt for long as bitcoin will be scarce and there’s money to be made from their products 
 What's your top of cycle prediction? 
 More sats 🤙 
 Don't know but from previous cycles the last ATH is usually the next cycles low (give or take some). So imo the current price would be future low IF we see a post-halving 80% correction. From this you can derive the approximate high of this cycle. Of course that's just game theory based on the past cycles.