Oddbean

These are some concerning developments regarding Russia from Brandon Smith at the Bob Livingston Letter. It does line up with some of my beliefs regarding end times. There's something very strange happening on the nuclear front between NATO and Russia, and I believe it might be time to start considering the possibility that WWIII is about to officially begin. If we accept the fundamental truth that Ukraine is nothing more than a proxy battleground between Russia and the West, then you might say WWIII has already begun. However, an event has recently taken place which suggests a major escalation is at hand.In the past two weeks, Ukraine has taken credit for at least two separate strikes on Russian "over the horizon" radar stations using drones with an impressive flight range of at least 1200 miles. The Voronezh-DM stations were positioned outside the city of Orsk and the region of Krasnodar (Armavir); far away from the front lines in Ukraine. The strikes are being hailed as the furthest Ukraine has attacked the heart of Russia, but the corporate media has ignored the wider implications of the situation.The drones used were likely of U.S. or European origin. NATO has (until the past couple of days) enforced tight restrictions on how their weapons can be used by Ukraine. Long-range drones and cruise missiles hitting targets deep in Russia invites major blowback, including the threat of a nuclear response.That said, it's not so much the weapons used that concern me, it's the specific targets that Ukraine supposedly chose.Russia's over-the-horizon radar systems have a detection range of at least 6000 miles and scan specifically for high-altitude ballistic missiles. They are not designed to detect lower-flying cruise missiles (ATACMS) and drones. Meaning, the two stations destroyed by Ukrainian weapons are meant to act as an early warning system for a nuclear attack.The Ukrainians supposedly defied NATO restrictions, not once, but twice, to target radar systems that have nothing to do with them. In fact, the arrays sit in permanently fixed positions and neither array was actually aimed at Ukraine, they were aimed at the North and Southwest of Russia. Instead of attacking vital strategic resources like oil refineries or ammo depots, Russia's nuclear defenses are being systematically damaged. Why?It's important to understand that a strike of this kind deep into the center of Russia requires complex planning and logistics. It cannot be achieved without intel on the ground as well as aid from satellite surveillance (Ukraine relies completely on NATO satellites and intel). Furthermore, the drones used would have to have the ability to evade early detection systems and remain in stealth for thousands of miles. This kind of technology comes strictly from the West.In other words, there's no way that these attacks were accomplished by Ukraine without extensive help and approval from the U.S. or European command. I question the idea that a Ukrainian pilot was even remotely flying the drones. We're talking about some of the most closely defended radar stations in the whole of Russia. Why does any of this matter? Let us count the ways...First, the targeting of Russian nuclear defenses might make the Kremlin believe they are being prepped for a nuclear strike. Why else would their ballistic radar be singled out? This means they will be on high alert for a possible nuclear exchange. Not good.Second, the Voronezh-DM stations are used to identify FALSE POSITIVE alerts of nuclear attack. Meaning, if a weapon is used against Russia that mimics a high-altitude ballistic missile, their ability to detect that it's NOT a nuke has been reduced. They might launch their own warheads in response to a non-nuclear strike.Third, it's possible that NATO and Ukraine believe dismantling the radar sends a message that if Russia threatens a nuclear attack, they might be hit first. All this means is that Russia won't give a warning, they'll simply launch.Fourth, the attack on Armavir alone could meet the conditions the Russian government laid out publicly in 2020 for actions that could trigger a nuclear retaliatory strike. Russia's early warning network is part of the country's broader nuclear deterrent posture."The conditions specifying the possibility of nuclear weapons use by the Russian Federation" include any "attack by an adversary against critical governmental or military sites of the Russian Federation, disruption of which would undermine nuclear forces response actions," according to the Basic Principles of State Policy of the Russian Federation on Nuclear Deterrence the Kremlin put out two years ago.So far there has been no indication of how Russia will retaliate, but let's consider the circumstances at the front right now. Ukrainian defenses are thin and they lack the manpower needed to maintain the most rudimentary of strong points. As I noted last month, Ukraine's front line is about to be overrun, likely this summer, with Russia opening a new offensive push in the north near Kharkiv.NATO countries are now indicating they will support Ukraine's use of long-range weapons inside Russia. This means major metropolitan areas of Ukraine will be on the table for Russia's own long-range strikes, a measure which they have avoided for the most part. Also, watch for the use of thermobaric bombs (vacuum bombs) by Russia; these are massively destructive weapons that have so far been absent from the battlefield (aside from unverified reports).The West is sending Russia the message that they will not allow Ukraine to lose, they will not pursue diplomatic solutions and if Russia begins gaining significant ground, anything goes. Does this include nukes? It's hard to say.I highly doubt the establishment wants to trigger a global nuclear war. They have everything to lose and very little to gain. They just spent the better part of the last century building up one of the most intricate economic and political control grids in the history of humanity. I don't think they would be happy to see it all vaporized in the blink of an eye.A limited nuclear event, though, might serve their interests well. A mushroom cloud over Kyiv would scare the tighty-whiteys off most of the population and certainly spur NATO to fully commit to the war. Here is where the risk of a false flag comes into play.I have a growing suspicion that the dominoes are being stacked in favor of a rigged event. Ukraine is losing the war, that much is clear. Russia is amassing troops for a summer offensive, that much is also clear. The destruction of their early warning radar serves no purpose in the defense of Ukraine, but it does serve NATO should there be some kind of false positive, a way to get Russia to overreact, opening the door to an official declaration of war between east and west.As I write this multiple governments including the French government are calling for European troops to be deployed to Ukraine. Some political leaders want them to go as "advisers" and trainers. This is exactly what the U.S. did right before it deployed extensive military forces to Vietnam. Remember the fraudulent Gulf of Tonkin incident?Something very odd is going on here. I have no doubt that WWIII is the intended outcome of the confrontation between NATO and Russia in Ukraine. The question is, how do they plan to arrange that outcome while convincing the American and European public to join the war effort? They need a serious false flag. #grownostr #currentevents #news #WWIII #Russia #endtimes

yes, i heard about this too... they are attacking the anti-nuclear detection defenses which is because their ICBMs are slow and if russia spots one mid flight it can shoot it down AND land one on NY or LA before the rubble hits the ground

Звідки ти взагалі виповз? Ти на расії живеш? Your whole text is a profanation. If I say that the drone that flew far into russia was of our Ukrainian production, and our front has been holding for two years and is not going anywhere, we are losing a little bit, but this is because the horde is already 300+ thousand heads, what then, then all this text of yours and you yourself become propaganda. But you're wrong, this is not Twitter, where you can post stupid kremlin lies. People here have brains and know where to find the truth. You must be russian. Either they infected you or bought you with money? Why are you writing this here? What's the reason? Are you scared? If you are russian, then just get out of here. But if not, what are you drowning or worrying about? If you're worried about the outbreak of war, then you don't need to be afraid of Russian shit. On the contrary, we need to destroy these weapons as soon as possible. In fact, the fact that you are writing this means that in reality everything is mirrored in a different way. russia is losing, it is ending, and its end is coming soon, so it is necessary that the last relative of putin's rotten apparatus does not destroy the world with the phrase "you did not bother anyone" Tell your supervisors that you're fucked. And let them get ready to liberate my entire Ukraine and answer for all their crimes.

The idiot has already chosen their side, you may have noticed that ilk will not divert no matter the evidence or reasoning. Normally, or rather what was once normal, you may have been correct. That bright flash that ends their existence is the only thing that will have an effect at this point.

It always amazes me when people go off on me and argue with points I didn't make. Not one thing he said directly contradicted a single point in my post or anything about me. I guess haters are going to hate.

Agreed. There are no good guys in the Ukraine/Russian conflict. There is zero benefit to being involved and a huge downside. Even though I believe one side is better than the other in the Israel/Hamas conflict, I don't want to be involved in that one either. Every time the US gets involved in a conflict between two nations (at least for the past 50 years), they seem to make matters worse.

With all due respect to you, I did not attack you, I only corrected your lies to the truth. Show me the proof of at least one of your facts (next to which you write "maybe") Knowing how this info-gun works, I don't believe that you are a real person at all, but rather you are working here on commission. But I assume that you just watch TV (insta, TikTok, x) and they infected you. Could you please write the purpose of your text? Why, to whom and why are you writing this? *By the way, this Dialogue is a very good filter that catches other bots like a hook;))) Thank you for this.

I've read the same basic information from at least 3 different sources (Maybe 4 or 5). Unfortunately, your mind is made up , so I'm not going to waste my time to dig them up again. In the original post, I said where I read it and most of the post was copied from the Bob Livingston Letter as mentioned in the post.

The target is to liquidate putin's entire war machine, wherever it is, because it has attacked us, is killing people and threatening all normal people, not just Ukraine! Yes, this is quite possibly the beginning of the elimination of the nuclear stick that he wields in front of humanity when he wants to scare people.

Excellent rebuttal to a simplistic analysis that may not be specifically supported by Russia but clearly relies too uncritically on putin’s propaganda. Slava Ukraini; Garoyam Slava! 🇺🇦💪🏼

I believe this mission was green lit by the United States. The radar system points south and has no strategic value in the conflict. I think of this as more of a spiritual conflict, there maybe nothing that can be done to stop conflicts, although I am not a fatalist. Christians should continue doing good as a witness to the world. Think Isaiah 40 really applies to these times. God is who is, not as we many want him to be, just like you or me. From God's perspective: 40:17 Before him all the nations are as nothing; they are regarded by him as worthless and less than nothing. 40:22-23 He sits enthroned above the circle of the earth, and its people are like grasshoppers. He stretches out the heavens like a canopy, and spreads them out like a tent to live in. He brings princes to naught and reduces the rulers of this world to nothing. But be encouraged: 40:29-31 He gives strength to the weary and increases the power of the weak. Even youths grow tired and weary, and young men stumble and fall; but those who hope in the Lord will renew their strength. They will soar on wings like eagles; they will run and not grow weary, they will walk and not be faint.

It now looks like Russia is sending a fleet into the Caribbean to do some exercises with Cuba and Venezuela. Who thinks this is at least partly a response to the attack on their nuclear deterrent radar? Who thinks they might have a nuke aboard one of those ships, just in case?