Oddbean new post about | logout
 I have some contacts in Russia that work as asset managers and financial analysts. So after the war broke out they were emailing me like, “Well, uh, that’s awkward. But anyway here are some details of what’s happening internally in Russia in terms of the financial system using CNY more and USD less, and other financial changes. Hopefully these are helpful.”

So I was like “thanks guys, let’s stay in touch. Stay safe!”

nostr:note1mj0ltkkrk38x46uuuzt3hzzgdx9clg8fhtvqv2usy57q294grf0sjtzhwk 
 I had a Russian engineer on my team. He was like, “This is dumb.” And we were like, “Yep.” And then shortly after that we had to let him go because we weren’t allowed to pay him anymore. 
 That's terrible, what about zaping him? 
 We’re owned by a large public corporation. Very strict on who we employ and how we pay them. 
 I see, many Russians living in Europe like for the last 20 years had bank account blocked or unilateral closed after this war. 
 All heil the state, bestower of permissions and knower of what is best!  
 Well said, comrade 🫡 
 Russia is estimated to spend something like 10% to 20% of their GDP on war. Paying him would be making meaningful contribution to an attempted genocide, as you'd be supplying foreign currency to the Russian economy.

The only ethical thing to do is cut ties and tell him to get out of Russia. Sucks. But war at this scale forces people to take sides and make hard decisions. 
 Cool. Now do America. 
 after seeing violence on human bodies one might change perspectives 
 Это моя родина 
 this slow waiting of WW3 is killing more people than anything. Let's do it already so we can continue our lives. lol 
 Indeed the lack of hope is terrible. 
 maybe it's all by design. fear not.. how they say in the movies. 
 I'm not going to take stress because it feels like they want us to feel "lack of hope". 
 I can't read the quoted event on amethyst  
 If you grab the note id you can view it on njump, which is a pretty cool site 
 Same here. Added some more default relays but still not showing up. Full disclosure, I'm a lurking newbie to NOSTR. 
 “The flower of youth die in trenches while old men dine in comfort”

Everyday people have no problems with each other.  It’s the octogenarian politicians across the globe that eff everything up 
 this is general abstract words. don't have nothing against them. But what do you do if 500 meters from you exploded 900 kg ballistic missile from country which invaded your country? will you say this same mantra to foreign soldiers or you will defend your home? 
 That's what the Donbasniks said in 2014, after they rejected a coup and got hit with a "Counter Terrorist Operation".

I wish Western governments had used their leverage then for peace and trust-building, instead of treachery and arms sales.

But "the leopard doesn't change his spots" and Ukrainians are paying most of the price... 
 We can talk about history of this conflict if you want. But there are a lots of details and you have to spend a lot of time to learn them. I'm not sure you want this. 

So. So called "Donbasniks" started coup against ukraine in april 2014. They claimed to be local fighters of the Donetsk People's Republic, but were actually Russian Armed Forces 'volunteers' under the command of Russian GRU colonel Igor Girkin ('Strelkov').

The same dude, Strelkov, participated in Crimea annexation. Later he said openly and bravery about all this. You can find interview with him in russian.

Probably all of Ukraine saw the video from Slavyansk in 2014 when one of the soldiers said the word [parebrik] (border). I, for example, heard this word for the first time, although I speak russian. It turned out that this word originated and used in the Leningrad region.

that is the video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_eLCWI2sZQ

btw, isn't this is strange that "Donbasniks" rebels equipped like fucking professional marines? 
 Of course not.  I would fight back to defend my home and family, and most sane people would as well.  

My post was speaking in generalities.  For the most part I believe that people are good and just want to love and be loved by family and friends.   

Left to their own devices, most people choose peace.   But politicians and those in power put them in positions to fight those they otherwise wouldn’t fight 
 > Of course not. I would fight back to defend my home and family, and most sane people would as well.

nice to hear that. 
 Russia and China ... two wrongs don't make a right 
 Yeah I was glad to have a stake in Lukoil for my long term holdings....  but silly politicians always looking to do the WAR thing....

hopefully the oil companies can get back to fueling productivity all over the earth without governments being so violent & overbearing 
 Good for you. Keep talking. 

—In response to the reposted note: 

If we’re talking to one another, we’re likely not actually enemies. Nationalism is great until it’s not. As a person who loves to travel and has traveled a ton across cultures, what we are doing by communicating person to person around the world is more generative of peace than accommodating to war. 
 By continuing to work their jobs and pay their taxes those those asset managers and analysists are contributing thousands of dollars a year towards the Russian state, and thus to their attempt at genociding Ukraine. An estimated 10% or more of the entire Russian GDP is being spent on the invasion. You simply can't escape supporting it if you continue to stay in Russia and work. And with those kinds of careers, they probably do have a real choice and could leave Russia like so many others have.

Unless your contacts are doing something useful to stop the war, like sabotage or espionage, they should be thought of as criminals. And they – and the Russian economy in general – should be considered valid military targets. It would be completely ok for Ukraine to send a few drones to their offices to fuck up the financial side of the Russian economy.

War is shit. But sometimes you are forced to take a side, and forced to make hard choices. Don't chose evil.

nostr:nevent1qqs9z65z8xkg2pflzdr6dclk8rdlt7cnpchlwraa2dw088hjl5wn70gpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsyg82krn4d5etsz7dge8nmpztspqrqvr45yl2hs6enfmzexk84wglfupsgqqqqqqs2p7f22 
 Lyn is a Russian spy 
 your intel is always appreciated 
 This is what Peter Todd had to say about this. What a nice guy 🤦‍♂️ 
Curious why he didn’t reply directly 

https://primal.net/e/note16kqwxsy8vj4804cgmklds79xay3zlw6rsejljekfp4qn09kkpr7sfse5kk 
 He has Ukrainian roots and a radical position against Russia. 
 What a marasmatic world. I am Ukrainian, I lived in Kharkiv quietly until February 24, 22. That morning I heard explosions in my city. We started to defend the country, because what choice did we have? I had to leave the city, my wife lost her brother in the war, my boss lost his country private house. And now what? You're here suggesting to zap russians who lost their accounts in Europe. You think Ukrainians are nationalists because for some strange reason(!?) we don't like russians.

I'm saying this no to Lyn but to comments 
 Are Russian adhering to #nostr  ? 
 sure, why not 
 No, I live in Ukraine. 

If "Donbass fighters" were fighting alone they could not have lasted even a year. It was russian invasion from the beginnings. But I got your point. I think it is almost impossible to get the right picture if you are not living here and haven't seen all the details. In 2014 I saw in Kharkiv buses with russian numbers. russia brought people in to pose as demonstrators from Kharkiv against the Kiev government.
But lets stop here, I've had so many discussions on this subject over the last few years that I'm sick of it all. I just want to live a normal life as much as possible under the shelling here. 
 Please don't compare russia to your country or others. that is a big mistake I hear all the time.
how often have you heard on your state tv that you should hit the capital of another state with a nuclear bomb? or that you should wipe out a couple million Ukrainians to finish them off? and this is what I and many Ukrainians have heard from russia. 
 In private is not the same as in public. because usual people take it for real. we have a lot of POW who thought that we are fascist here and killing everyone who speaks russian and eating russians babies 
 I used to have a lot of friends in WMA who would travel to Voleyn every year to fight.

They'd report back that Russians are often ignorant, drunken homophobes; and Ukrainians are often ignorant, drunken homophobe neo-nazis with swastika tattoos who brag about beating up foreign students and being paid muscle for politicians.

That was about 2008-2011.

Putin is shamefully misrepresenting your country, but the fascists he talks about are known outside Ukraine. 
 Voleyn?

I live in Ukraine since 90s. I speak russian in public. Never ever meet a single one fascist. Never had problems with russian lang. There was never a fascist party in parlament. I'm a progammer. I know a lot of super smart ukranian programmers and mathematicians. Don't you think that you can't picture all ukrainians from your friends reports? Also I think probably there are nazy in ukraine. Probably they are in your country. So what. It can somehow excuse invasion in your country? 
 So cool to see civil discourse about such topics without severe emotion or ad hominem attack.  
 no ) I am very angry 😡 
 And rightly so, war is hell. Sorry for any of your losses.  
 I used to have a lot of friends in WMA who would travel to Voleyn every year to fight.

They'd report back that Russians are often ignorant, drunken homophobes; and Ukrainians are often ignorant, drunken homophobe neo-nazis with swastika tattoos who brag about beating up foreign students and being paid muscle for politicians.

That was about 2008-2011.

Putin is shamefully misrepresenting your country, but the fascists he talks about are known outside Ukraine. 
 Voleyn?

I live in Ukraine since 90s. I speak russian in public. Never ever meet a single one fascist. Never had problems with russian lang. There was never a fascist party in parlament. I'm a progammer. I know a lot of super smart ukranian programmers and mathematicians. Don't you think that you can't picture all ukrainians from your friends reports? Also I think probably there are nazy in ukraine. Probably they are in your country. So what. It can somehow excuse invasion in your country? 
 So cool to see civil discourse about such topics without severe emotion or ad hominem attack.  
 no ) I am very angry 😡 
 And rightly so, war is hell. Sorry for any of your losses.  
 If north korea starts shooting missiles at your country, will you tell your fellow citizens and to north koreans to "feed their politicians into wood chippers". how do you think it will help? 
 The best time to mulch politicians is before they can start a war, not afterwards.

North Korea won't shoot missiles at us, they'll shoot them at South Korea or Japan.

And if they do it will make a lot of very bad people even richer than they are now.

And if we get dragged into invading North Korea - again - it won't be for any good cause.

I just hope we don't use chemical and plague bombs on them again like the last time, because they can nuke back now. 
 > The best time to mulch politicians is before they can start a war, not afterwards

right. ukranian politicians did not started this war. but I don't have a hope that you will believe me.

there is youtube video. try to watch it with subtitiles please. 
Some explanation from me:

year 2008. this is famous russian film director.  in this video he said that there will be big war between russia and ukraine. and then he explains why. 2008. There was no Zelenslky in power, no crimea annexation. no donbass. nothing. but the reasons he sees are internal russians reasons. political development in russia. Do you see were I'm going? there are so many bullshit and missinformation, like NATO expansions, ukrainian nazi, oppression of Donbas, opression of russians in ukraine, maidan, ukraine is a puppet of the west . it's impossible to get through all this bullshit and explain to outsiders what is real reasons of this war. because russia propaganda machine is huge and there thousands people generating fakes daily.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lpceqOG-2HA
 
 You're correct, I don't believe that. 

That old crook Putin pulled the trigger in 2022, but the war started long before.

It will end by negotiations, and when it does my government will have a team helping others start it up again. So will Putin. Hopefully (for you) somewhere else.

We don't even manufacture any weapons worth a damn, those stupid carbon-neutral drones we send are inferior to everything on the global market. The only way our well-connected people get paid for such weapons is if they're paid by my taxes. 
 It is too simple just to blame government. It doesn't give you incentives to think and analyze. and I don't think that government is inherently evil. just as we are all. thats why I often toxic here. because "bitcoiners"  often think that they are smart just because they are embraced bitcoin or nostr. 
 We got where we started. You don't know a lot of details so your opinion is too general and blurry. like - "friends lets make love and don't fight.  all polititians are bad lets fight them".

I'll be happy but it is not working. If someone is doing crime he has to be stopped. and not with words of piece.

After all this is russia who invaded Ukraine not he other way around. 

If you are not sending weapons to us it is not changing anything for us. In fact, first 3-4 months of the war there was'nt any help from the west. We still be fighting but with less success, because it is our country.  I don't get how you see the war can ends after you not giving weapons to the side who is not aggressor in the first place. 
 I don't get what is Voleyn, maybe Volhynia? it is a region in Ukraine, but there wasn't any conflicts 
 The best time to mulch politicians is before they can start a war, not afterwards.

North Korea won't shoot missiles at us, they'll shoot them at South Korea or Japan.

And if they do it will make a lot of very bad people even richer than they are now.

And if we get dragged into invading North Korea - again - it won't be for any good cause.

I just hope we don't use chemical and plague bombs on them again like the last time, because they can nuke back now. 
 > The best time to mulch politicians is before they can start a war, not afterwards

right. ukranian politicians did not started this war. but I don't have a hope that you will believe me.

there is youtube video. try to watch it with subtitiles please. 
Some explanation from me:

year 2008. this is famous russian film director.  in this video he said that there will be big war between russia and ukraine. and then he explains why. 2008. There was no Zelenslky in power, no crimea annexation. no donbass. nothing. but the reasons he sees are internal russians reasons. political development in russia. Do you see were I'm going? there are so many bullshit and missinformation, like NATO expansions, ukrainian nazi, oppression of Donbas, opression of russians in ukraine, maidan, ukraine is a puppet of the west . it's impossible to get through all this bullshit and explain to outsiders what is real reasons of this war. because russia propaganda machine is huge and there thousands people generating fakes daily.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lpceqOG-2HA
 
 You're correct, I don't believe that. 

That old crook Putin pulled the trigger in 2022, but the war started long before.

It will end by negotiations, and when it does my government will have a team helping others start it up again. So will Putin. Hopefully (for you) somewhere else.

We don't even manufacture any weapons worth a damn, those stupid carbon-neutral drones we send are inferior to everything on the global market. The only way our well-connected people get paid for such weapons is if they're paid by my taxes. 
 It is too simple just to blame government. It doesn't give you incentives to think and analyze. and I don't think that government is inherently evil. just as we are all. thats why I often toxic here. because "bitcoiners"  often think that they are smart just because they are embraced bitcoin or nostr. 
 It is too simple just to blame government. It doesn't give you incentives to think and analyze. and I don't think that government is inherently evil. just as we are all. thats why I often toxic here. because "bitcoiners"  often think that they are smart just because they are embraced bitcoin or nostr.