This has worked for me.
nostr:nevent1qqsdjntew8cw5ax7wraznd053kcaklr3h5nxexttzkrfv9jllcuynfgpremhxue69uhkummnw3ez6ur4vgh8wetvd3hhyer9wghxuet59upzqf95tyq2jtaug5nue7t4h4qknz8ygnrwfk0nvnz3tpn87pmky0lzqvzqqqqqqyevc8zz
Private domestic investment is already negative. GDP is only positive because of government spending. I belive the numbers are 5% gov, 3% gdp, -2% private
What matters more than 50bp cut is 1/3 of US FED Debt expiring next year thanks to Janet too short Yallen.
So either they're going to flood the bond market and jack up interest rates (not gonna happen) or the FED is going to have to absorb all of it.
I don't know how much of the debt is already owned by the FED, so it might be a null point, but I assume some isn't, and it might not be insignificant.
nostr:nevent1qqstwna83252muwc6nnpdjg3hufnhzk4ur7gjwwffj6fnj0s6nx5jjsppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qgsvfz6uem26mf6dkpud76cqlfflcyfe6ualpmgkmce9653zqggah4grqsqqqqqpgwyphu
Spam / Social Experiment
nostr:nevent1qqsdjntew8cw5ax7wraznd053kcaklr3h5nxexttzkrfv9jllcuynfgpremhxue69uhkummnw3ez6ur4vgh8wetvd3hhyer9wghxuet59upzqf95tyq2jtaug5nue7t4h4qknz8ygnrwfk0nvnz3tpn87pmky0lzqvzqqqqqqyevc8zz
After this it's earnings uncertainty (maybe they turn out bad), election uncertainty (protectionism vs communism), and then it's back to FEDspeak.
I'm not very optimistic for the rest of the year. But I'm positioned well either way.
These two must be trolling right?
#asknostr
nostr:nevent1qqspw0hmtufkytz94ahyl6tnd53r48xsax24e4f7ac2hphmdnmag5gqpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5hsygqmpx842ep4decfaujk5pjff74nxuvuxqz3wegd4yw8hcvk5r75xcpsgqqqqqqszafeuk
These two must be trolling right?
#asknostr
nostr:nevent1qqspw0hmtufkytz94ahyl6tnd53r48xsax24e4f7ac2hphmdnmag5gqpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5hsygqmpx842ep4decfaujk5pjff74nxuvuxqz3wegd4yw8hcvk5r75xcpsgqqqqqqszafeuk
I think they haven't decided yet. Otherwise they would leak it to test the markets. They don't like announcing things with uncertainty.
Nick T should have the answer shortly I think.
But 50bp would be correct and they seem to be trending that way.
Notes by Jose Sammut | export