Good points! Betting markets, to me, are a good signal to understand how the public feels about a certain topic. I’m think stuff like Polymarket are more noise than signal until they get more serious bettors involved.
Lately, I’ve found a groove with a “one day at a time” mentality. I’m not sure exactly how I’ve gotten here but it feels like the right place for me right now.
Notes by philgarland | export