Oddbean new post about login | logout nowhere in there was there an actual answer to the question. mostly word salad mixed with "we got a guy. trust me bro."
Thankfully I moved away from Swan last year - I got some bad vibes.
Buy 6 months before the halving. Sell 18 months after the halving. Charge fees for the “service”. Then start adding leverage to goose returns. There is probably a law that all custodians will take greater risk in the quest for higher revenues until they eventually blow up.