Oddbean new post about login | logout I've been saying this. Then lightning nerds wanna front like it's the best thing since sliced bread and pretend people will come around or something. They argue the UX or UI can improve it. It can't. The architecture doesn't work like that.
I think the most likely scenario is that lightning is quietly repurposed into rails between different solutions, like mints and sidechains. Eventually, once those solutions get tired of trying to maintain the lighrning networm at scale, we'll sunset it even more quietly and tell ourselves that was the plan all along.