I agree with all your points, even though I have some degree of skepticism a out our actual ability to make measurements of the remote past. 

Those errors are compounded enormously in the so called predictive models, so I think they're worthless.

And in any case, it is absolutely ridiculous to think that, even if they get the past and the future right, they know how to fine tune the aggregated whole of the actions of 8 plus billion individuals, State-mandated violent coercion or not.

Add to all this the undeniable fact that science has been fully coopted by the State, so it is virtually impossible to be a professional scientist who eats two warm meals a day outside the State-sponsored narrative...