Oddbean new post about | logout
 But you on the other hand again and again are promoting insane and high preference thinking when prognosticating ridiculous dollar prices in a very short time perspective. You maybe directionally correct but you have hurt your credibilty a lot the last couple of years. 
 What exactly is a ridiculous dollar price? 
 $58k 
 0.00000001 to me is reasonable. 
 (Bitcoin standard) 
 1 million in the end of the year is a ridiculous and frankly quite stupid prognostication. 
 Hardly. 
 😂🤷 
 @Excellion I’d like to apologize for my tone. It was unnecessary. I would also like to say that I’m not at all believe that 1 million won’t happen. But that I don’t believe it will happen very suddenly. 
 No need to apologize. It sparked an interesting discussion. I just see it happening sooner due to an array of macroeconomic factors. 
 Hans, you are misusing the term high time preference here.

Samson has been working with nation state adoption for several years. That's the opposite of high time preference.

Perhaps just sit down a bit when you are entering a subject where you have not built up credibility as an analyst. 
 I can see what you mean. Thanks for feed back 
 Disagreements without hostility are always the most fruitful exchanges.

I appreciate the work that Samson Mow has been doing over the years and he is also a highly critical thinker that often listens to and consider nuanced feedback. He may not agree with the feedback but he is able to entertain multiple possibilities.

We will all disagree on the timing when 
$1.0M bitcoin happens and that's fine.