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 Social media will never disappear, it will just be heavy regulated, and just as addictive as it is now. I already cant see “news” in app in Canada cause our laws are obtuse. 

The counter-strike lobbies will be the last bastion of freedom for the average citizen. 
 Regulated to death. 
 Sanitized 
 Soulless and bland like corpo comic books 
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 In some sense that’s great. Platforms like nostr are gonna prosper.

Special case would the engineers get the piping right so that the user experience doesn’t feel so amateur hour

Although they tried the verifiable thing and the only thing it did was to cause conflict and then war since uncle putin wouldn’t have gringos in charge of that, which is the biggest challenge with a global ID system. 
 That's what I mean, this will probably cause some sort of drop off in usage, added with the drop in participation and usage anyway.

Also when you say all social media. Do you think the dungeonsynth forum, just as an example, would fall into this? It would seem to mean 'social media' being the public square sort of meta and xtwitter. 🤔 
 Major corps, even Yahoo might stop their message boards if it starts seeing traffic. 

Any. Centralized. Host. Will bend, or break to the central government. Twitter under new management already bent to Erdogan. 

Please see can I have my revenue? 
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 No idea. I agree participation would drop significantly