Oddbean

1/2 The following is likely to be my last update on the hypothesis that the assassination attempt was staged. At this point, I have a high degree of confidence that this event was staged and I have been disappointed by how little attention this hypothesis has received by the research community (I attempted to explain why that is the case). If I'm wrong then I would love for the researchers to do a thorough rebuttal but until then, I will stick with the understanding that the assassination was most likely staged. Also, I've spent more time on this that I wish I would have spent on it (I'm sure all of researchers are in the same boat), so here is my final take: I think the deep state was involved in this operation but the case I’ll be making below is that this assassination attempt was likely staged. Indeed, many of us in the “truther” community came to the conclusion that Trump, to the same extent as Biden, is a deep state asset. If this is true, it would then be difficult to explain why the deep state would want to assassinate their front-running candidate. You may find ridiculous the idea that Trump is a deep state asset when the narrative that Trump is fighting the deep state is broadly accepted. However, did you know that Trump has numerous deep state ties including with the Rothschild, Epstein and Soros? Also, how to explain the involvement of Trump in the deep state Qanon psyop (through the Qproofs) if Trump is going after the deep state? In 2016, Trump got elected on the promise that he will drain the swamp but instead of draining it, he appointed the swamp to his administration (Barr, Ross, Acosta who were all associates of Epstein). Some Trump's supporters often give Trump a pass because he was new to the political game. Others allude to Qanon related narratives such as "Trump plays 4D chess with the deep state" to justify Trump's poor appointee choices. However, those excuses are now moot and still Trump surrounds himself with people whose actions go against what his MAGA base would like to see. For instance, J.D. Vance new Trump's VP pick is a protégé of Peter Thiel who is advancing the surveillance state agenda which explicitly targets Trump's supporters. Despite this glaring contradiction, Trump said to be happy with his choice. Still, if you don't believe that Trump is likely a deep state asset, I recommend you watched these two mirrored videos from Jake Morphonios (most of his research had been taken off the internet): https://www.bitchute.com/video/WpxeUOiWikO9 https://www.bitchute.com/video/QAW9y6emuHWB Also here is an insightful interview from @Whitney Webb on the Trump/Vance/Thiel trio: https://www.youtube.com/live/8BqVnOu1WBs?t=3166 Most people who have discounted the hypothesis that this attempt was staged did it on the basis of their bias on Trump. They claim that "Trump couldn't have staged it" (not considering that the deep state would have done it) or that "of course the deep state would want to kill Trump" hence it's obvious that this was a real assassination attempt. Others have assumed that for the event to be staged, the shooter would have had to aim at Trump's ear without injuring/killing Trump which is impossible and/or too dangerous. I agree that this would be too dangerous of a stunt to be pulled off but this is only refutting the strawman. Which evidence do we have to support that a bullet actually grazed Trump's ear? Could this scene be more akin to a magic show in which the perception that Trump was actually shot at was an illusion? Below are the three elements that lead many to believe that Trump was shot at: 1. photographs: From Doug Mills: Bullet passing by Trump: [See attached photo] Blood on Trump's right hand after touching his ear: [See attached photo] 2. ballistic sound analysis: By Chris Martenson: https://youtu.be/LouUbMYb7Bc https://youtu.be/TF4RFPXcTlI 3. ballistic trajectory analysis: By John Cullen: https://odysee.com/@BretWeinstein:f/how-many-shooters-john-cullen-on-the:2?t=3820 Are these elements indisputable proofs that a bullet grazed Trump's ear or that Trump was shot at? I would say no and here is why. First regarding the photographs, it’s important to note that these photos were taken by Doug Mills who is a renowned photographer but also part of the “mockingbird media sphere”. Interesting fact, did you know that he’s the photographer who took the photo of Bush in a classroom when being notified of the 9/11 attacks? (source: https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/04/26/doug-mills-iconic-president-photos-226744/ / https://www.tampabay.com/news/nation-world/2021/09/10/during-sarasota-visit-president-george-w-bush-learned-of-911-attack/ ). Doug Mills has covered many Presidents so it’s not necessarily improbable that he was with Bush on 9/11, however what are the chances that he would be covering a small Trump’s rally? Has Doug Mills covered other Trump’s rallies? If not, he’s for sure very lucky to have been attending this one. Also, I’m not an expert in photo forensic but until we have the confirmation from multiple independent experts that these photos haven’t been tampered with, I wouldn’t consider these photographic evidences as indisputable. It's even possible that these photos could have been edited in way that is undetectable especially as image tampering tech is getting more sophisticated with for instance the use of neural network-based methods. If the deep state has this capability, you can be sure that they would make use of it. What if the bullet and blood would have been added to the originals? I’ve looked at the video of the shooting and while the resolution is not very good, I couldn’t see any trace of blood on Trump’s right hand. This element is certainly worth investigating further. Screenshots from the video showing no apparent trace of blood: [See attached photo] [See attached photo] Also, the bullet that can be seen in the photo is the one from the first shot (before Trump reached for his right ear) which allegedly grazed Trump's right ear. If you draw the direction of the bullet (red line) and assuming that the bullet passed closed enough to Trump's right side to grazed part of his face, it doesn't appear that the bullet would have grazed Trump's ear. At best, it would have touched the bottom of his ear whereas the photo of his allege injury indicates that the impact would have located in his upper ear. This observation could actually be the smoking gun validating the hypothesis of the staged assassination. Indeed, if the picture of the first bullet couldn't have grazed Trump's ear then only two scenarios are possible: 1. The picture is real but Trump simulated his injury 2. The picture has been tampered with and we have evidence that a key element of the official narrative was faked which would make highly credible the idea that many other elements could have been faked. Either scenario would confirm that the assassination attempt was staged. Could this be the reason (besides getting caught lying under oath) why Christopher Wray, FBI Director, would refuse to recognize that Trump got grazed by a bullet and instead a shrapnel could have caused his injury? (source: youtu.be/RxmqdhLxN3E) Maybe they are aware that this photo hasn't been perfectly edited or maybe this photo wasn't perfectly edited on purpose so that the narrative could be shift in the scenario in which the idea that this event was staged would become broadly accepted. [See attached photo] [See attached photo] Second regarding the ballistic sound analysis, the audio provided by Trump's microphone provides evidence that most of the shots passed near Trump's microphone as we can hear the supersonic shockwave left by the bullets passing in proximity of the microphone (that precede the sound signature of the reports). However, in the hypothesis in which no bullet were aimed at Trump, could it be possible for the supersonic shockwave to have been faked as if they would have been picked up by Trump's microphone? Based on a cursory research that I have made, it seems possible to fake the signature of a supersonic shockwave to a microphone either by using electronic components small enough to be dissimulated or by tinkering with a limiter and gate of the microphone. The latter could potentially explain why Trump's microphone appears to have a limiter and gate signature (source: https://youtu.be/TF4RFPXcTlI?t=1972). Maybe there could be other explanations for it and my goal isn't to provide a definitve technical explanation but my point being that it appears possible that this auditory evidence could have been faked. Third, regarding the ballistic trajectory, we don't have any evidence (besides the photo and supersonic shockwaves discussed earlier) of any bullet having passed by Trump. The fact Corey Comperatore and other rallygoers who were shot at were in the line of sight of Crooks aiming at Trump doesn't prove that any bullet were actually shot in this direction. For this we would need, to know where did the bullets land and which gun there were shot from. Unfortunately, the FBI hasn't provided any of these details. Or we would need video evidence proving that a bullet has taken this direction, which we don't have either. The only video evidence showing a clear trajectory was analyzed by John Cullen and it shows that the first shot wasn't fired from Crooks' position and wasn't aimed at Trump. Here again, a "line of casualties" coherent with the hypothesis that Crooks was the one taking the shots at Trump could have been faked by other shooters aiming at targets (i.e. Corey Comperatore) who were in Crooks' line of sight. In conclusion, at this time we don't have any evidence allowing us to indisputably conclude that any shot was aimed at Trump. Ballistic forensics don't definitively prove that any shot was aimed at Trump. The photo of the bullet showing a trajectory that is inconsistent with the official narrative even seems to indicate that the event was staged. #Trump #TrumpAssassination #StagedAssassination #EarGate #PsyOp #FalseFlag #DeepState https://image.nostr.build/ed23baf05927ad7cf625b5d0a4ada98cb60dbad8d92898cd1db05ce8723d02ec.png https://image.nostr.build/6bc0b2c54788cac0a661e15da94961de2753235c93fed4599c578cd08e4b3618.png https://image.nostr.build/8950fe6c7f01b364e9734b1da2655eead93afff77f873e02a8527864dff0c934.png https://image.nostr.build/55e28d5e36806dd2b02be3e02170e93067cbbc7e42988adf4033083aca0ecdd8.png https://image.nostr.build/7928e9319ad406f62d3c2225b7a0c67e6761fd5a55cefaa38baa8b77d25ffd6d.jpg https://image.nostr.build/b5f2482a27bcf13addb79f70b0e795ea76bf660c81ce91987d7d9e90711807f4.jpg

2/2 If the scenario of an assassination attempt can’t be confirmed yet, what evidences do we have to support the scenario of a staged assassination? First, we should remind ourselves that the deep state had executed several more complex false flag operations before. So saying “it couldn’t have been done” is ignoring a core expertise of the deep state. Here are some elements that weights towards a staged assassination attempt: * The presence of the “mockingbird” photograph Doug Mills needs further investigation. How many Trump’s rallies was Doug Mills present at? Why would he have chosen this one which was a small rally? His photo showing the trajectory of the first bullet is inconsistent with the official narrative as it appears that this bullet couldn't have passed by Trump's upper ear. Was the photo tampered with or did Trump fake his injury? In both cases, this would confirm the hypothesis of the a staged assassination, unless the official narrative shift to the shrapnel being the caused of the injury. Injury for which we still don't have any official medical reports from Trump's medical team. * Why the mockingbird media coverage was higher for this rally than other Trump's rallies? Many more media were livestreaming this rally. Did they know that something were about to happen? Although this doesn't necessarily mean that the assassination attempt was staged, if the main goal of the deep state was just to assassinate Trump, then, it may not be necessary for them to reach the largest audience possible. It seems that having as many people as possible seeing what was about to take place that day was an important objective of this psyop. * Despite the presence of multiple shooters (some with military equipment) and having only one (maybe two) shooter being neutralized, they failed their alleged assassination mission. All shooters missed their target. At this point, it would seem that the deep state in charge of eliminating Trump would have been even sloppier than the allege sloppiness of the Secret Service. What if the mission of the deep state was to stage an assassination attempt? Could this apparent slopiness hides a flawlessly executed psyop operation? * We have evidence that one shooter directly aimed at the crowd. Based on the video analysis from John Cullen, the first shot wasn't aimed at Trump. It was aimed at the crowd present in the right bleacher. Cullen makes the hypothesis that this shot was aimed at the first SS sniper team (and missed) but I would make the case that this trajectory (if confirmed) was probably to argue plausible deniability (that the shooter's target wasn't the crowd but the SS sniper) in the event in which video evidence of this shot trajectory were to be surfaced by the public (which ended up happening). It's true that the sniper moved at the moment of the shot but here again, maybe this move was coordinated between the SS sniper and the shooter both particpating in the same deep state operation. Also, Cullen hypothesis would fail to explain why would the shooters only target one SS sniper unit when at least two where present (and they are both composed of two snipers). It would have seemed more effective for all shooters to be aiming at Trump. * The timing of the shooting is interesting. The shooting happened as Trump was commenting a chart (it would be interesting to know how often Trump has commented a chart before in his rallies). As a magician on stage, Trump could have been using the power of attention and misdirection to successfully divert the attention of the crowd off of him. This hypothesis is supported by the fact that Trump said “take a look” five times (and pointed at the chart) to direct the attention of the public to the chart just before the shots started. Maybe this explains why we still don’t have any footage from crowd that was behind Trump. Maybe all eyes were focused on the chart. That’s too bad because it may have help us settling the question as to whether or not a bullet grazed Trump’s ear. * Trump has remained fairly silent regarding the investigation of the shooting. Wouldn't he want to know who attempted to kill him? Maybe Trump simply believes the scenario of the lone wold attack in which case, he would admit that he doesn't believe the deep state is after him. In the meantime, the Secret Service and FBI are dodging most important questions and refuse to provide critical details which by then, should have been known to them. The avoidance behavior of both alleged enemy parties (Trump and the deep state) could be perceived as a form of collusion in which none wants the truth to emerge. Could it be because it was a staged assassination? * Trump has already participated in a deep state psyop in the past. Trump was an active participant in the Qanon operation. Indeed, initially the Qanon narrative gained a lot of credibility through the Qproofs (source: https://qproofs.com/q-proofs) which were proofs that Trump and Q were coordinating through “cryptic messages”. Although some people still believe the Qanon narrative while other think that it was a joke, many came to the conclusion that Qanon was a deep state psyop aiming to misdirect and discredit the pedogate/pizzagate research which originated from some Wikileaks documents. The operation had been quite successful as most people now believe that the pizzagate narrative originated from Qanon whereas the primary materials actually came from Wikileaks (Podesta and DNC emails). So admitting that Qanon is a deep state psyop and Trump was actively participating in it. How can you make sense of the narrative that Trump hasn't been working hand and hand with the deep state? So far, no one had been able to resolve this contradiction other than by dismissing Qanon as being "fake" (which is absurd for anyone who has followed this operation). Most likely, Trump is a deep state asset and I would argue that the belief that the deep state is after Trump is the primary mental blocker preventing many people to entertain the possibility that this assassination attempt could have been staged. By the way, did you know that the “Fight, fight, fight” statement made by Trump right after his alleged assassination attempt is a famous Qanon reference? Here is the proof: https://qanon.pub/?q=FIGHT!%20FIGHT!%20FIGHT! https://qanon.pub/?q=Fight%2C%20Fight%2C%20Fight Do you believe that Qanon is a legit anti deep state operation or a controlled opposition operation by the deep state? That should give you a clue as to whether this alleged assassination attempt was staged or not. It’s unclear why Trump would be making a reference to Qanon although one hypothesis is that this auditory message would have the effect to mobilize past Qanon followers through a phenomenon called subliminal auditory priming. * In the end, this alleged assassination strongly solidify the posture of Trump as a national Hero, the man to be killed, the ultimate enemy of the deep state saved by the grace of God. The sequence of events aligns perfectly to benefit the Trump camp (right before the RNC). Overall, it almost seems too perfect for Trump (and maybe a bit scripted). * The recount of the shooting by Trump (during the RNC) is not authentic and seems scripted. He often talks from a perspective which wasn't his. For instance, he says that while he was still on the ground, the crowd was pointing at the shooter and people could see all the blood. The possibility that Trump is mostly playing a role character according to a script is to put in contrast with the idea that he would be a strong leader in control of the situation (source: youtu.be/4MVep85ykg4). * There are numerous past evidences that Trump is owned by some elements of the deep state hence, why would they want to kill him unless the deep state is divided in multiple factions of divergent interests. What would be the motives for a staged assassination attempt? Here is a non-exhaustive list: - Counter the rise of RFK (non-controlled opposition) currently polling at 19%. Trump has recently been mirrorring several of RFK's talking points including on crypto, health and now unity. - Discredit the narrative that Trump is a deep state asset or at least that Trump can't be trusted. Trump has lost a lot of support among his supporters (especially within the evengelical segment) since his mismanagement of the plandemic and stance on Covid vaccines. - Prop up Trump as a national Hero and broadening his support (especially among libetarians and independents) in preparation of a potential involvement in WW3 (or other major crisis that will require the mobilization and support of the whole population) So far, I'm not aware of any researcher who have refuted even a small fraction of these arguments. A lot of the research community working on this event had been supportive of Trump in the past and I suspect this bias may affect their willingness to even consider that this assassination could have been staged as it would force them to reassess their view on the role played by Trump. I would love to see someone taking a stab at refuting the staged assassination hypothesis, until then, I'm afraid that the research community will continue to be misdirected by analyzing a growing number of materials and seeking to gain a better understanding of an incorrect hypothesis which is that the deep state attempted to assassinate Trump. Finally, I see a lot of right leaning influencers making fun of the possibility that this assassination could have been staged without seriously considering this hypothesis or by refuting the strawman that no shooter could have been skilled enough to aim at Trump's ear. This is sad to see and when the mainstream narrative turns in favor of our in-group we tend to forget that social engineering conducted by the deep state is made of several layers of deception. As a rule of thumb, if you only perceive the manipulation aimed at 50% of the population then you're probably getting it wrong. The goal of social engineering programs is to control the perception of the large majority of the population not just 30%-50%. I you don't see how the perception of the other 50% may be controlled, think of the use of reverse psychology as another layer of deception. #Trump #TrumpAssassination #StagedAssassination #EarGate #PsyOp #DeepState #FalseFlag

[Update] Quick update with new elements proving that Doug Mills’ photo of the bullet had been tampered with. We already knew that this photo can’t be from the second shot as Trump has his right hand on his ear when we hear the supersonic shockwave of the second shot. Also, we don’t see any trace of blood on Trump’s hand whereas we do see traces of blood on Doug Mills’ third photo (which has likely been tampered with as well anyway). However, this photo doesn’t appear to be from the first shot either because when we hear the supersonic shockwave from the first shot Trump still has his right hand on the stand! In short, this photo can’t be from any of the shots and we must conclude that it had been tampered with (which I had hypothesized from the beginning). What does this all mean? If a forensic evidence supporting the official narrative of the failed assassination attempt had been faked, we can easily entertain the idea that more forensics evidences could have been faked hence the staged assassination attempt hypothesis is highly likely. See the screenshots taken during the first supersonic wave and second supersonic wave. You can verify for yourself with the live footage here: https://youtu.be/JW3X-nmHKmM #Trump #StagedAssassination #TrumpAssassination #FalseFlag #PsyOp #DeepState https://image.nostr.build/9c61a41ac4cec80c15a64ec5709aaf7eb13df860397836d76ee3f6d064b1f56e.jpg https://image.nostr.build/6a3c361cbf897328e091a0864cc2772dddfb0326a76757721a9c271811322a4f.jpg

Doug Mills photo of the bullet shows Trump with his hand in the air while first supersonic shockwave shows Trump’s right hand on the stand and second supersonic shockwave shows Trump’s right hand on his ear.