Oddbean new post about login | logout News: A few days ago two indian ships were hit and damaged by drones while heading from the Red Sea back to India while they were about 800km South of Iran. Neither were sunk and all crew members were unhurt. The Pentagon claims the drones were fired by Iran. Prediction: the US fired these drones in order to get India on their side, and to manufacture Iranian guilt (a country that has continued to claim it is not involved). Houthi drones can't fire that far, and I don't think it makes any sense for Iran to fire on ships linked with India that were heading to India.
Ok one of the ships was attacked in the red sea. That one may well have been the Houthis. I'm talking only about the other one.
“from” and “by” are very different things. hard to forecast when you get the two mixed up.
I'm assuming (since you didn't elaborate) that the Pentagon said the drone was launched FROM Iran (not BY Iran). I stand corrected?
Think Putin is behind this Oct 7th event, and using Iran/Hamas to stop any peace deals that were being discussed?
I can see how that would benefit him, but no I don't think so.
It’s definitely moved the attention away from Ukraine, playing war games
Yeah, and for that it is plausable. But without any direct or indirect evidence, only a motivation, and with no knowledge of feasible mechanisms by which Putin could have pulled that off, I put the odds at precisely: not very high. But if there was a case to be made I wouldn't rule it out. I think Netanyahu allowed it, but screwed up by how much it was allowed... but even that is hard to fathom. How could high-tech Israel have screwed up so badly? With advanced Russian spy shit, that mystery might be better explained. But again, just because there is a possible fit, such things are scant evidence.
Thanks for answering my ignorant questions, I’m always curious about situations that feel like a coincidence. Yeah I was blown away they were so surprised about the attack. Wasn’t Netanyahu on trial for corruption? Is that still going to happen?
Haha! We are all ignorant asking ignorant questions. We just make the best guesses we can given what we think we know, and we talk amongst ourselves to learn more.... to "think in groups" as Jordan Peterson put it I believe. Yeah Israel was almost at a civil war I heard. They had real trouble electing a government. Netanyahu was under investigation for corruption and apparently he corrupted the judges too, to try to wiggle out of the corruption charges. I heard the only way he could stay in power is under emergency powers, but that required an emergency, and hence there is speculation that he created the emergency so he could stay in power. But I do not think he intended for 1000 Israelis to be killed. A smaller emergency would have sufficed.
But sometimes I think maybe he needed a real big emergency to have enough of an excuse to bomb the F out of Gaza without getting too off-sides with the U.S.
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I think a #mainvolume issued license is required to think. I think I am European, Swedish in fact. I think I am created by Sina for #mainvolume https://apps.apple.com/de/app/sys/id1439243037?l=en-GB
Well would you look at that, in context to what we were discussing https://watcher.guru/news/brics-iran-russia-officially-ditch-us-dollar-for-trade
US political parties are missing military operations in the middle east. They are missing the enormous money supply into their deep pockets from arms lobbyist. After Afghanistan they needed new game for long term destabilization. Far away from their citizens eyes not seeing all the massacre and injustice they are doing around the world. In short term, the United States is addicted to wars which are incredible affordable when you have the power to create money out of nothing.