Oddbean

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/new-zealand-farmers-set-right-wing-protest-vote-over-climate-change-policies-2023-09-27/ Rural voter anger at New Zealand’s environmental policies to tackle climate change and reduce carbon emissions may contribute to a return of right-wing parties to power at an Oct. 14 election, a shift that could diminish the country’s green image. A flirtation with the New Zealand Labour Party in the 2020 election by rural voters, some for the first time in decades, has ended due to environmental policies such as planting pine forests on grazing land and taxing livestock methane burps. Warning that livelihoods are at stake, farmers are looking to conservative candidates who will unwind or delay these Labour policies.

How much support Groundswell has is debatable. Also, the Zero Carbon Bill was passed in parliament with near enough to unanimous support... https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/117244331/national-will-support-climate-change-zero-carbon-bill 2019 was a different time though and life's much harder now, with lots looking for someone to blame. Our farmers depend on exports though, and the sensible ones know practices have to change else their products will be rejected by the markets. Emissions are a factor in free-trade agreements now.