often both, but if it is a future concept, you should definitely figure it is a prediction/warning. i am clear when i give advice; i usually say "you should do this". heh.
geopolitics are always viewed through the lens of what was, is now, and what causes result while keeping in mind the deeper narratives and shadow causes. and timeline differentiation. i often know who the shadow actors are, so i also have to factor in if it is something in my personal narrative impacting the stories (which is where we are at the moment).
i am generally writing front content 18 months to 5 years ahead and rewriting in real time as you all ignore me and fuck to anyway despite the warnings. it is great fun. ;)