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 Sci-fi series The Expanse has a very interesting scene calculating the game theory between stealth, first strike weapons and a preemptive attack on these weapons given good intel.

The risk is that if the attack is not perfect, it will trigger the use of those first strike weapons.

If the preemptive attack is successful, it will likely lead to an end to the war.

But... what is the probability of success? What would the casualties be in failure?

The dilemma is well acted. It's a great scene. 

It's also unfortunately relevant in the real world today. 
 And one of the most underrated sci-fi series out there  
 Belter creole is a work of art! 
 Aside from the ultra woke leftist writers being complete garbage humans, the show is fantastic.

I find it funny that the people advocating for one world governance under the UN made a story where the goverments of earth, mars, and the belt are all utterly incompetent and corrupt.

The plight of the belters is used as a poster child proxy for "unprivileged minorities," and other similar leftist talking points but they somehow miss how they literally 'proved the point' anarchists and free thinkers have been talking about for centuries. 

And belter creole is pure gold. Oyedeng kopeng
 
 Yes. They slip a bunch of the woke agenda in there: one world govt, UBI, population control, eugenics, multiculturalism, etc, etc... but the script is good, acting excellent, it's hard sci-fi, ships awesome, politics complex... quality is top notch. I wish all the woke garbage coming out of Netflix, Amazon and Hollywood had half the talent. 
 Now we just need somebody to adapt Vernor Vinge's 'Across Realtime' with the same quality!  But I don't expect Hollywood to ever adapt a story with ungoverned anarchists being the good guys... so let's hope AI video gets good enough that an independent studio can do it on a tiny budget!