Oddbean new post about | logout
 They own the lands for now. Russia isn't about to stop it's march westward. Not until she is satisfied that the US and it's vassals can't threaten her again. So those lands Black rock and the like "purchased" may not be in Ukraine much longer. 
 There’ll be a peace agreement by Easter ‘25 
 Hopefully but not before the whole of the Donbas and Luhansk has been secured. I wouldn't be surprised if they went all the way to Odessa 
 Trump wants to impress as soon as he’s inaugurated 
 Doesn't mean he will. After the failures of Minsk 1 and 2, Russia will not be so naive.  
 Putin wants it, Trump wants it and Zelensky is now saying it. It’s all going on right now behind the scenes 
 Putin wants security. Not promises 
 Putin and Trump will already be agreeing on the split 
 Hopefully but my ears on the ground see no sign of letting up. Another massive push just last night 
 Yep, will be pre the agreement 
 Trump’s more pressing issue is allowing Israel to slaughter many more to placate his backers before seemingly stopping that. It’s all more of the same with a different flavour 
 Indeed. He is a Zionist. WW3 if he is not careful 
 There won’t be. It’s all about making money. WW3 is a constant tactic to spread fear and capitalise from it 
 Unless WW3 is conventional war. All wars are banker wars my friend. Without fiat, hostilities would last days not years 
 WW3 has been going on since 1913 then. All one long Central banker War 
 We've been at war permanently for far longer. More in the region of 300 years.  
 Yep but you’re referring to current conflicts. It’s all banker wars, but WW3 is usually referring to nuclear which will never happen. Unless dirty bombs are included potentially.