Oddbean

Donald Trump is speaking at the Libertarian National Convention Now This is the first time one of official candidates speaks at LP This Rumble link is live: https://rumble.com/v4v2xa9-live-president-trump-addresses-libertarian-national-convention-in-d.c.-5252.html

Well, here's my analysis: dude's gonna win. It doesn't matter if you or I dislike him or anyone in this conversation dislikes him, he's going to win. This was the case before he went to the LP convention, so then why did he do it? Why would the favored candidate to win go and make extra promises to people not loyal to him that he didn't need to make? There's something else brewing here. I think the Rs are trying to merge in the LP because they see the direction their party is going and the two somewhat align. Also this might be a play to take NH and pad out the national lead the guy already has. Also there's the fact that since around 2012 the R party has been moving slowly libertarian, not quite all the way but inching their way in that direction. From a libertarian perspective: the dude is primarily responsible for the fact that we have the Bruen decision that ultimately negates all gun control in the United States. That's a pretty big win. We can talk about end the fed and all that, and I hope that happens but a win is a win, it's not a promise, it's the reality we live in now. Wouldn't it be cool to have a L at the end of a president's name? After the R, of course, you take what you can get lol. I don't vote as a rule, on principle, but I still would enjoy seeing that. Ultimately I think the dude is going to get most of the libertarian vote, big L and little L alike, and was going to anyway. I don't really think our little discussion here is going to change much on that front. And I do think if he wins, he's going to free Ross. I hope to see assange and Snowdon pardoned too, but I don't hold a lot of optimism there.

If he's a better liar, that would mean that he's a more convincing liar, which would mean you trust him more lol. So you're going to vote for someone else because they're a more obvious liar? That's pretty funny. Personally I don't have a dog in that race, I just find the public rhetoric interesting.