Yes, I asked this a long time ago and the issue of 'success' came up. I think someone argued nostr was already a success because it functions, I don't think that seems right. Another version of success was that someone felt they personally had some benefit from Nostr. I also don't think that would count.
I think success wouldn't have to be being twitter-killer or anything. But it is sort of a matter of user numbers really. And I don't think it would have to be the same numbers as twitter or anything. I think I would say... Whatever user numbers matrix or substack has, wide(r)spread interest.
It's not an exact science lol.
I think eventually projects either do succeed or fail. Like that twitter alt called Ello (or any number of them). We can pretty much safely say that did not succeed, right? 🤔
Well I never hear of Allo. So idk. But idk, even substack level success is kinda a high bar 🤣
It seems like you do need to reach some sort of threshold of user numbers / appeal. (Doesn't have to be mass-appeal). Otherwise things do tend to wind down, understandably.
It is also possible that perhaps things wind down, geidm to a halt. Remain dormant and then re-emerge much later, taken up by other people. Perhaps ...LESS BURDENED by the dominant user group that caused the stagnation and winding down. That's just one possibility maybe ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Well, I don't disagree. But it's a fun experiment.
Honestly, what would be nice, is if just everyone ran a blog with a rss feed. And that feed was just aggregated by rss clients.
In this sense "everyone is a relay" and the dream of nostr was realized back in the early 00s with blogging on WordPress sites.
Bit I have low expectations. I have internet friends here, yourself included. So as long as my internet friends are here I'll stick around.