Oddbean new post about | logout
 I'm hesitant to give much credence to Michael Yon's takes.  He talks a big game, and brings some interesting perspectives, but his predictions fall short.

Notably, a couple of years ago he was forecasting a global famine in 2023.  Well into 2024, that has never materialized to the degree he was predicting. 
 He has made some very dire predictions here. I certainly hope he's wrong, though it's interesting when Whitney Webb and many others are forecasting similar things. 
 Dire predictions seems to be how he earns a living.

If he's right, I respect that, but my position now is just to watch and see if his model of the world actually holds up to reality. 
 Dire risk is aparently __how__ to earn lots of money i.e. AI ethics and existential risk