Oddbean new post about login | logout 🇺🇸 USA: My (still preliminary) projection for the U.S. presidential election. The projection is primarily based on early voting data and campaign movements. My final projection will be presented at the "Decision Desk/Phvox" on Monday (4th). https://image.nostr.build/400aecc15f811f35b522b6f5bf61bc11c9952fe3f0a2a7630078a6e841461217.jpg
I choose to believe you because I like the results.
I'd still call shenanigans if it happens.
I think two of three up top should be red. At least
Wisconsin will go red, otherwise agree. Michigan is a toss up, but I could see the Muslim vote (or lack thereof) giving it to Trump as well.
A lot riding on PA
