Oddbean new post about | logout
 Good to know. I should've noticed the name... says it all 
 conclusions based on bad assumptions are invalid – assumption is the mother of all fuckups 
 Pattern recognition is more reliable than a strict rule of making no assumptions. You're right, in certain contexts. But how you recognize those contexts is pattern recognition. If it all comes back to pattern recognition anyways, then just use the pattern recognition. 
 no, it's education and experience, of (medical) experts in the case of matters related to vaccines