Who will win the presidential election? The Trump trade offers a clue

https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/GettyImages-2173424524-e1729366738653.jpg?w=2048

Based on 538's latest analysis of presidential polls, Trump now has the barest advantage in the race, with a 52-in-100 chance to win.

https://fortune.com/2024/10/19/who-will-win-the-presidential-election-poll-trump-media-stock-bitcoin-dollar/