Pretty sure the majority of people moved from X to Bluesky without even knowing the differences between the two. And it seems safe to say that nostr will be fringe for a while. There needs to be some other tech giant that comes into the mix who isn’t from the 99s and the 2000s.
Most people have always settled values, spaces, and vibes based on tribal community not objective evaluation of the underlying choices of the tribe. We’re social animals. The tech is not the most important thing in social software. The people are. So people follow the people they admire.
People ultimately wanted a Twitter before Musk. People also here about Nostr key pairs and all of the Bitcoin crazy and Libertarianism that keeps them far away.