Oddbean new post about | logout
 Everyone thinks they will cut rates which makes me think they will raise them 
 rate cut guarateed in 18.9k blocks 
 They can’t afford to. 
 No, I don’t think that they can keep this game up for much longer 
 If they raise more, banks will fail more. Sounds good to me. I don't have any debt besides a mortgage and that's fixed 🤷🏻 
 Who? 
 the fed and ecb are at war. rates won't be cut. they might increase if davos class throws more shade the feds way.  
 They just printed shit tone of money when rates were high.
They will keep on changing the rules of the chessboard. 
 stagflation is a bitch 
 🧐✅ 
 Never trust them, remember when they said rates would stay low for a long time? 
When they say they’re going to cut rates, all I see is them just dangling the carrot again giving people false hope. 

They’ll either remain where they are now or increase. My personal opinion, they’ll increase them. 
 You've got a 50/50 shot at being right. 
 Not wrong, not right!