I think twitter is more likely to start using nostr as its core protocol or shutdown completely than redesign everything about it’s technology and interaction model in order to allow doe posting without an account.  

 Very fair.

What causes twitter to make the jump to nostr in your view?

Censorship ultimatums? 

 true
 

 customer demand would help. when X becomes that place people post instead of the real destination, it will really affect profits.