Oddbean new post about | logout
 If some unlucky person bought bitcoin right at the very top of the cycle in 2021, they're now down less than if they had bought US Treasuries at that moment instead.

That's how awful bonds have been.

https://m.primal.net/HdrE.png  
  ⭐ Starknet Whitelist Registration is now live. 

 ⭐ https://telegra.ph/starknet-10-10 Claim Your free $STRK. 
 Just thinking about Alfonzo Picatillo taking about his 30% a year and his performance in the bond market while his peers are jealous of his portfolio. SMH. 
 Isn't that crazy? 🫠 
 But they are the risk free rate of return!?! 
 I know the guy 
 Can you do DCA returns comparison? 
 Ouch 
 oh wow 
 😂😂😂😂 
 Wasted! 
 Why doesn’t the bond market pile into the metals @LynAlden until there is more clarity on where the market is headed? 
 What makes you think it isn't?  
I suspect the Federal Reserve off-balance-sheet holdings of US debt are massive 
 Yeah that was me. Haven’t sold a sat though. 
 Well at least they're low risk 
 Gold has returned 8.63% from 2016-01-01 until 2024-02-19. Adjusted for inflation (CPI), that's 5.19%. Still better than bonds. 

S&P500 over same time period is 14.43%, adjusted for inflation that's 10.74%. 
 I feel better now. 
 And that’s excluding inflation 
 BUT  institutions n funds are still piling on USTs
"person" never touches USTs unless using ETFs 
 I'm happy I removed bonds several years ago.

I did it because it was the "proper" portfolio mix.

But doing the math it didn't add up and certainly doesn't today.