Oddbean new post about login | logout How do we know that? ๐ค๐ง
Trust me bro
How do I know you are not Jewish?
Trump held his ๐ ๐ค first campaign event ๐ since the apparent assassination ๐ ๐ค ๐ฅ attempt ๐ https://www.npr.org/2024/09/17/nx-s1-5116600/trump-town-hall-flint-michigan?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=mastodon ๐ ๐
็พ่ๅจไผ่ฎฎไปๆชๆๅฆๆญคไธ็กฎๅฎ็่ฎฐๅฝใๆ ่ฎบ็พ่ๅจๆๅคฉ้ๅไปไน่กๅจ๏ผไธๅ็ๅธๅบ้ฝไผๆๅฐๅคฑๆใ็ณปๅฅฝๅฎๅ จๅธฆใ่ช7ๆไปฝไปฅๆฅ๏ผ้่็ฏๅขๆๆๆพๆพ๏ผไฝฟๅพ้ๆฏ25่ณ50ไธชๅบ็นๅๅพๆ ๅ ณ็ดง่ฆใ็ฌฌไธๅญฃๅบฆGDP็ปดๆๅจ3%ๅทฆๅณ็ๆฐดๅนณๅนถไธไปคไบบๆๅคใๆชๆฅไธๅนด็้่ดง่จ่๏ผๆๅฏ่ฝไปคๅพๅคไบบๆๅฐๆ่ฎถใ ๐ ๐ There has never ๐ ๐ been a more ๐ uncertain ๐ค ๐ Fed ๐ฅ meeting ๐ on record. Regardless of ๐ค ๐ what the Fed ๐ค does tomorrow, ๐ฅ ๐ half of the ๐ ๐ฏ market will be ๐ disappointed. Buckle up. The recent easing ๐ค of financial conditions since July has ๐ฏ rendered the ๐ฏ 25-50 ๐ค basis ๐ points cut inconsequential. ๐ ๐ค ๐ It is ๐ ๐ค ๐ฏ unsurprising that Q3 ๐ GDP ๐ is ๐ ๐ maintaining a level of ๐ approximately ๐ 3%. ๐ There ๐ is a ๐ ๐ possibility of ๐ฏ inflation ๐ฅ surprising ๐ ๐ many ๐ ๐ค in the ๐ coming ๐ year. ๐ https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXuO6JvakAYV_mv.jpg ๐ค ๐
็พ่ๅจไผ่ฎฎไปๆชๆๅฆๆญคไธ็กฎๅฎ็่ฎฐๅฝใๆ ่ฎบ็พ่ๅจๆๅคฉ้ๅไปไน่กๅจ๏ผไธๅ็ๅธๅบ้ฝไผๆๅฐๅคฑๆใ็ณปๅฅฝๅฎๅ จๅธฆใ่ช7ๆไปฝไปฅๆฅ๏ผ้่็ฏๅขๆๆๆพๆพ๏ผไฝฟๅพ้ๆฏ25่ณ50ไธชๅบ็นๅๅพๆ ๅ ณ็ดง่ฆใ็ฌฌไธๅญฃๅบฆGDP็ปดๆๅจ3%ๅทฆๅณ็ๆฐดๅนณๅนถไธไปคไบบๆๅคใๆชๆฅไธๅนด็้่ดง่จ่๏ผๆๅฏ่ฝไปคๅพๅคไบบๆๅฐๆ่ฎถใ ๐ ๐ There has never ๐ ๐ been a more ๐ uncertain ๐ค ๐ Fed ๐ฅ meeting ๐ on record. Regardless of ๐ค ๐ what the Fed ๐ค does tomorrow, ๐ฅ ๐ half of the ๐ ๐ฏ market will be ๐ disappointed. Buckle up. The recent easing ๐ค of financial conditions since July has ๐ฏ rendered the ๐ฏ 25-50 ๐ค basis ๐ points cut inconsequential. ๐ ๐ค ๐ It is ๐ ๐ค ๐ฏ unsurprising that Q3 ๐ GDP ๐ is ๐ ๐ maintaining a level of ๐ approximately ๐ 3%. ๐ There ๐ is a ๐ ๐ possibility of ๐ฏ inflation ๐ฅ surprising ๐ ๐ many ๐ ๐ค in the ๐ coming ๐ year. ๐ https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GXuO6JvakAYV_mv.jpg ๐ค ๐ nostr.fmt.wiz.biz
(ๅฝ็จ็ฏๅๅ็ท ๆณ)ใฎ่ชฟๆปใใใใใๅผทๅถ่ชฟๆปใงใใใฎใซๅฏพใใ้ๅธธใฎ็จๅ่ชฟๆปใฏๅๅฟ็พฉๅใฏใใใใฎใฎไปปๆ่ชฟๆปใงใใใ ๐ฅ ๐ https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%9B%BD%E7%A8%8E%E7%8A%AF%E5%89%87%E5%8F%96%E7%B7%A0%E6%B3%95 ่จใฃใฆใใใจใใกใใฃใจใใใใใใชใ ๐ RE: https://misskey.io/notes/9yapvap23aof0g1h ๐ nostr:note19puspyuss2u78r2yf5k9gggy564tumvc4vk2pupzeys7ylgf3laq0wmqqr
ๆ่ฐไบๅๅนด็ไธญๅๅๅฒ๏ผๅฐฑๆฏ่ฟไนๅพช็ฏๅพๅค็ใๆๅๅฏน็ๅ๏ผ https://t.co/dw7iuTlyOQ https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1836220353347014656/vid/avc1/720x516/-LzdcxjQswdgcD9E.mp4?tag=16
