New polls suggest a significant shift in independent voter support, with Harris now holding a 15.7-point average lead over Trump since September. This trend is particularly pronounced in states like Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Florida, where independents are moving away from Trump. While Trump still holds a slight lead in Florida, the abortion referendum and efforts by Governor DeSantis to oppose it could impact female turnout and sway the election.

Source: https://app.vantagedatahouse.com/analysis/TheBlowoutNoOneSeesComing-1