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 Its fine if the NIPs change, I don't mind unless its a mandatory breaking change.  I say grow a thick skin to those who can't handle constant breaking changes - that's the way its been on a lot of lightning and a lot of projects in the space. 

Dev talent is super thin, globally. We need to work harder on getting more young devs involved, none of us are gonna live forever.  
 Yes, this is exactly how to lose a developer base, as so many projects have found out the hard way 
 IMO if people still want to use NIP4 let them use it, but in my head this design is wholly unsatisfactory. 

Whether NIP44 is the long term solution is up for the market to decide; the   encryption enhancements and analysis is worthy enough to give the spec a shot at something better than what we have now. 

I don't know if this is going to impact the existing developer base but I'm willing to bet that they are hardcore enough to take it; they're not soft at all. ;)