Oddbean new post about | logout
 When bitcoin gets more adoption, the 4-year appreciation rate will set the risk-free rate for all investments. All companies will be forced to maximize the value of their assets or prune back their balance sheets through asset sales. I expect “Big Tech” will be selling a lot of their assets.

Stock returns will be forced to compete with bitcoin returns and most large companies will not be able to keep pace. Across the board, companies that have benefited from lazy monetization of a large network effect will be fundamentally transformed as traditional stock holders choose to save using bitcoin rather than invest in stocks.

Bitcoin is going to decentralize and shrink modern commerce. Through that process, some of the network effect monopolies (e.g. iPhones) will be toppled. 
 YES. WE ALREADY OPERATE THIS WAY AT TEN31 AND SO DO MANY OF OUR PORTFOLIO COMPANIES.

THE GOAL OF EVERY INDIVIDUAL, COMPANY, ORGANIZATION, OR GOVERNMENT SHOULD AND WILL BE TO MAXIMIZE BITCOIN ACCUMULATION. 
 What’s the exit strategy for Ten31 and its portfolio companies? How do the LPs (and GPs) get liquidity? This is the failure of the modern VC — every operational decision considers (if not is focused on) the exit. And since a fund life is 10 years, every company is trying to flip in 3-5 years. 
 WE DO NOT PUSH FOR EXITS.

SOME PAY BITCOIN DIVIDENDS.

SOME WILL BE ACQUIRED BY COMPANIES LOOKING TO IMPLEMENT A BITCOIN STRATEGY WITHOUT BUILDING IT THEMSELVES.

SOME WILL GO PUBLIC.