Oddbean new post about | logout
 Not sure how to say this more clearly. The current administration either:

1) does not understand basic finance and economics at all,

or

2) understands both perfectly.

It is #2 that terrifies me. 
 They understand the most advanced depths of modern monetary theory and Keynesian — that is to say, they don’t understand basic finance and economics at all. 

Cheers, James 
 Keynesianism* 
 still quite scary 😱 
 Great seeing you on here more regularly.

Next time you speak to Mike McGlone mention that his assessment of the Chinese bond market is entirely off the mark.   Yields are collapsing for the single reason that bonds in China are the local TINA equivalent. 

I say this while typing from Shanghai.   
 The truth is always somewhere in between.  
I have no doubt there are economic bureaucrats that understand it perfectly. 
 some option 1 and others option 2 
 There’s a lot of number two going on out there 💩 
 They have one path: cheat the election. 
 I think # 2 is more likely since no one can be really that numb to the consequences of their plans. It is very terrifying in my opinion and to be honest I belive the "shaping" has been going on for a very long time already. US and the EU are on some very strange path which defies common sense thinking.  
 It’s #2 for sure 
 Earlier this year I read ‘Principal’s for dealing with a changing world order’ and  I’m currently working through ‘Fourth turning’.

Both are tough going and I’ve probably forgotten most of what I read already. One takeaway is that we’re very likely in for some painful times in the near future.

Being a natural pessimist this is easy for me to accept. What is harder, but I am coming around to, is that the economic and societal cycles will continue and good things will follow.

I thank my lucky stars that I found #Bitcoin when I did. The more I learn about #money, #economics, #history, the more convinced I become that Bitcoin will be central if not essential to prosperity in the future. 
 More and more I get the feeling they believe their own bullshit. BTW I‘m from Austria  😀 
 Sadly - if Klaus Schwab & WEF’s “prophesy” of America no longer being the dominant global power in the world… it would appear that the answer is 2 and the globalists are trying to destroy it deliberately. 
 ** if it “comes true”