Oddbean new post about login | logout @098a11ae Oh, he almost certainly would. He's more popular among GOP voters than all of Trump's rivals except DeSantis and less popular with Dems than several of them. And Trump takes credit for the vaccines and may have been convicted of crimes by then.
@129bca96 that 10-15% he gets in the primaries polls from democrats would be more than enough to swing the election. I discount the shady polls and settle for 5% - in the right states would still do the tricks. All that money he’s paid by MAGA donors is not to help Biden!
@098a11ae nah, those are people blowing off steam about Biden in early primary polls. He's expected to announce an indie run on October 9. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/01/how-rights-elevation-robert-f-kennedy-jr-could-now-backfire/ https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/111/161/221/353/588/655/original/3766461a45507f7b.png
@129bca96 nobody knows how consequential he’ll be. What is sure today is that his campaign is planned (and paid for)as a huge 🐀🔩 to Biden.
