Oddbean new post about | logout
 What does 99.9% more likely mean? 
 It means it's the least likely reason but you believe it because of personal bias. Occam's razor completely disregarded around these circles.  
 What evidence is Occam's razor based on? 
 Occam's razor is a principle of logic that states that the simplest explanation is usually the most accurate.  
 How often is usually?